Official observations from Cape Town International Airport, the primary resolution source via South African Weather Service (SAWS) protocols, recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C on April 16, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Hourly METAR reports captured the peak around midday amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical autumn stability in the Western Cape, where April highs average 22–24°C under persistent high-pressure ridges. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from SAWS and NOAA models pegging 21–23°C, reflecting no anomalous heat advection or frontal influences. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from sensor audits or outlier peripheral stations exceeding 21°C, though airport readings hold authoritative weight; final SAWS verification is imminent for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 16?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$47,079 Wol.
$47,079 Wol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$47,079 Wol.
$47,079 Wol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Cape Town International Airport, the primary resolution source via South African Weather Service (SAWS) protocols, recorded a maximum temperature of 21°C on April 16, driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Hourly METAR reports captured the peak around midday amid partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and typical autumn stability in the Western Cape, where April highs average 22–24°C under persistent high-pressure ridges. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from SAWS and NOAA models pegging 21–23°C, reflecting no anomalous heat advection or frontal influences. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from sensor audits or outlier peripheral stations exceeding 21°C, though airport readings hold authoritative weight; final SAWS verification is imminent for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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