Official observations from Cape Town International Airport confirm the highest temperature reached 16°C on April 19, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. A strong cold front that made landfall over the southwestern Cape on April 18 persisted into the next day, delivering widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and gusty winds that limited solar heating and daytime warming, as reported by the South African Weather Service (SAWS). This marked a sharp departure from April climatological averages of 22–23°C highs, driven by southerly airflow and frontal boundary effects. While market-implied odds reflect verified airport data via standard meteorological stations, a realistic challenge could arise from rare post hoc revisions by SAWS if discrepancies emerge in quality-controlled records.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 19?
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$36,408 Wol.
$36,408 Wol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$36,408 Wol.
$36,408 Wol.
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 17, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Cape Town International Airport confirm the highest temperature reached 16°C on April 19, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. A strong cold front that made landfall over the southwestern Cape on April 18 persisted into the next day, delivering widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and gusty winds that limited solar heating and daytime warming, as reported by the South African Weather Service (SAWS). This marked a sharp departure from April climatological averages of 22–23°C highs, driven by southerly airflow and frontal boundary effects. While market-implied odds reflect verified airport data via standard meteorological stations, a realistic challenge could arise from rare post hoc revisions by SAWS if discrepancies emerge in quality-controlled records.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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