Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak highs in Chongqing clustering near 39–41 °C on July 16, with close market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty in maximum temperature. Subtropical high pressure, strong July solar insolation, and the region’s characteristic high humidity and urban heat-island effects support elevated readings, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could limit peaks. Historical midsummer baselines near 33–35 °C provide context for the current warmer pattern; traders weigh the latest high-resolution model outputs and any revisions in steering flow or moisture return as the primary near-term catalysts ahead of the daily observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 16?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 16?
40°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$53,970 Wol.
$53,970 Wol.
Jul 16, 2026
35°C or below
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
Yes
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C or higher
No
40°C 100.0%
35°C or below <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$53,970 Wol.
$53,970 Wol.
Jul 16, 2026
35°C or below
$4,532 Wol.
No
36°C
$2,349 Wol.
No
37°C
$5,968 Wol.
No
38°C
$7,313 Wol.
No
39°C
$7,693 Wol.
No
40°C
$7,790 Wol.
Yes
41°C
$5,170 Wol.
No
42°C
$7,009 Wol.
No
43°C
$4,558 Wol.
No
44°C
$944 Wol.
No
45°C or higher
$643 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak highs in Chongqing clustering near 39–41 °C on July 16, with close market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty in maximum temperature. Subtropical high pressure, strong July solar insolation, and the region’s characteristic high humidity and urban heat-island effects support elevated readings, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could limit peaks. Historical midsummer baselines near 33–35 °C provide context for the current warmer pattern; traders weigh the latest high-resolution model outputs and any revisions in steering flow or moisture return as the primary near-term catalysts ahead of the daily observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$53,970Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak highs in Chongqing clustering near 39–41 °C on July 16, with close market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty in maximum temperature. Subtropical high pressure, strong July solar insolation, and the region’s characteristic high humidity and urban heat-island effects support elevated readings, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could limit peaks. Historical midsummer baselines near 33–35 °C provide context for the current warmer pattern; traders weigh the latest high-resolution model outputs and any revisions in steering flow or moisture return as the primary near-term catalysts ahead of the daily observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$53,970Data zakończenia
Jul 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate peak highs in Chongqing clustering near 39–41 °C on July 16, with close market-implied odds reflecting modest uncertainty in maximum temperature. Subtropical high pressure, strong July solar insolation, and the region’s characteristic high humidity and urban heat-island effects support elevated readings, while scattered afternoon convection or increased cloud cover could limit peaks. Historical midsummer baselines near 33–35 °C provide context for the current warmer pattern; traders weigh the latest high-resolution model outputs and any revisions in steering flow or moisture return as the primary near-term catalysts ahead of the daily observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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