Persistent cloud cover, showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are suppressing maximum temperatures in Hong Kong ahead of August 25. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts currently indicate a daily high near 29°C under south to southwesterly winds of 4–6, with high rainfall probability and humidity of 80–95%. This active pattern contrasts with the seasonal August average high of 31.3°C and ongoing El Niño conditions favoring warmer baselines overall. Model consensus and steering patterns suggest limited daytime clearing, keeping the market-implied odds evenly distributed across temperature thresholds as traders weigh shower timing and any intensification against historical variability in late-summer convective activity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?
27°C 37%
31°C 35%
30°C 30%
28°C 28%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
19%
27°C
37%
28°C
28%
29°C
22%
30°C
30%
31°C
35%
32°C
21%
33°C
<1%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
7%
27°C 37%
31°C 35%
30°C 30%
28°C 28%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$5 Wol.
4%
26°C
$5 Wol.
19%
27°C
$5 Wol.
37%
28°C
$0 Wol.
28%
29°C
$20 Wol.
22%
30°C
$0 Wol.
30%
31°C
$0 Wol.
35%
32°C
$0 Wol.
21%
33°C
$27 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$0 Wol.
7%
35°C or higher
$0 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are suppressing maximum temperatures in Hong Kong ahead of August 25. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts currently indicate a daily high near 29°C under south to southwesterly winds of 4–6, with high rainfall probability and humidity of 80–95%. This active pattern contrasts with the seasonal August average high of 31.3°C and ongoing El Niño conditions favoring warmer baselines overall. Model consensus and steering patterns suggest limited daytime clearing, keeping the market-implied odds evenly distributed across temperature thresholds as traders weigh shower timing and any intensification against historical variability in late-summer convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$62Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are suppressing maximum temperatures in Hong Kong ahead of August 25. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts currently indicate a daily high near 29°C under south to southwesterly winds of 4–6, with high rainfall probability and humidity of 80–95%. This active pattern contrasts with the seasonal August average high of 31.3°C and ongoing El Niño conditions favoring warmer baselines overall. Model consensus and steering patterns suggest limited daytime clearing, keeping the market-implied odds evenly distributed across temperature thresholds as traders weigh shower timing and any intensification against historical variability in late-summer convective activity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$62Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are suppressing maximum temperatures in Hong Kong ahead of August 25. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts currently indicate a daily high near 29°C under south to southwesterly winds of 4–6, with high rainfall probability and humidity of 80–95%. This active pattern contrasts with the seasonal August average high of 31.3°C and ongoing El Niño conditions favoring warmer baselines overall. Model consensus and steering patterns suggest limited daytime clearing, keeping the market-implied odds evenly distributed across temperature thresholds as traders weigh shower timing and any intensification against historical variability in late-summer convective activity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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