Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Beijing under a warm, humid late-summer airmass on August 23, with daytime highs most likely peaking near 32–34 °C. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover, driven by monsoon moisture and weak frontal boundaries, introduce uncertainty in maximum temperatures by limiting solar heating or enhancing localized cooling. Recent model runs have narrowed the envelope around these values, consistent with climatological late-August averages near 31 °C while acknowledging typical day-to-day variability of 2–3 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 33 °C and 34 °C, with modest weight on 32 °C and 35 °C reflecting the narrow but still fluid range of possible outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on August 23?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 23?
33°C 33%
32°C 27%
34°C 27%
31°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
27%
33°C
33%
34°C
27%
35°C
12%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
7%
33°C 33%
32°C 27%
34°C 27%
31°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
$100 Wol.
1%
28°C
$100 Wol.
1%
29°C
$0 Wol.
1%
30°C
$0 Wol.
5%
31°C
$8 Wol.
14%
32°C
$31 Wol.
27%
33°C
$21 Wol.
33%
34°C
$0 Wol.
27%
35°C
$2 Wol.
12%
36°C
$0 Wol.
2%
37°C or higher
$5 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Beijing under a warm, humid late-summer airmass on August 23, with daytime highs most likely peaking near 32–34 °C. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover, driven by monsoon moisture and weak frontal boundaries, introduce uncertainty in maximum temperatures by limiting solar heating or enhancing localized cooling. Recent model runs have narrowed the envelope around these values, consistent with climatological late-August averages near 31 °C while acknowledging typical day-to-day variability of 2–3 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 33 °C and 34 °C, with modest weight on 32 °C and 35 °C reflecting the narrow but still fluid range of possible outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$267Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Beijing under a warm, humid late-summer airmass on August 23, with daytime highs most likely peaking near 32–34 °C. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover, driven by monsoon moisture and weak frontal boundaries, introduce uncertainty in maximum temperatures by limiting solar heating or enhancing localized cooling. Recent model runs have narrowed the envelope around these values, consistent with climatological late-August averages near 31 °C while acknowledging typical day-to-day variability of 2–3 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 33 °C and 34 °C, with modest weight on 32 °C and 35 °C reflecting the narrow but still fluid range of possible outcomes ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$267Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles show Beijing under a warm, humid late-summer airmass on August 23, with daytime highs most likely peaking near 32–34 °C. Scattered thunderstorms and variable cloud cover, driven by monsoon moisture and weak frontal boundaries, introduce uncertainty in maximum temperatures by limiting solar heating or enhancing localized cooling. Recent model runs have narrowed the envelope around these values, consistent with climatological late-August averages near 31 °C while acknowledging typical day-to-day variability of 2–3 °C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 33 °C and 34 °C, with modest weight on 32 °C and 35 °C reflecting the narrow but still fluid range of possible outcomes ahead of final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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