Short-term forecasts from major models show Beijing's August 22 maximum temperature most likely falling in the 31–33°C range, with thunderstorm activity and increasing cloud cover expected to limit surface heating. Regional pressure patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon favor scattered convection that can cap daytime peaks, while late-August climatology already features a gradual seasonal decline from mid-month highs. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty tied to exact timing and intensity of any showers, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around 32°C. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on August 22?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 22?
32°C 32%
33°C 25%
31°C 17%
34°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
12%
31°C
17%
32°C
32%
33°C
25%
34°C
16%
35°C
5%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 32%
33°C 25%
31°C 17%
34°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
27°C or below
$572 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$216 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$31 Wol.
4%
30°C
$5 Wol.
12%
31°C
$37 Wol.
17%
32°C
$1 Wol.
32%
33°C
$13 Wol.
25%
34°C
$2 Wol.
16%
35°C
$5 Wol.
5%
36°C
$10 Wol.
6%
37°C or higher
$10 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from major models show Beijing's August 22 maximum temperature most likely falling in the 31–33°C range, with thunderstorm activity and increasing cloud cover expected to limit surface heating. Regional pressure patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon favor scattered convection that can cap daytime peaks, while late-August climatology already features a gradual seasonal decline from mid-month highs. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty tied to exact timing and intensity of any showers, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around 32°C. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$903Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from major models show Beijing's August 22 maximum temperature most likely falling in the 31–33°C range, with thunderstorm activity and increasing cloud cover expected to limit surface heating. Regional pressure patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon favor scattered convection that can cap daytime peaks, while late-August climatology already features a gradual seasonal decline from mid-month highs. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty tied to exact timing and intensity of any showers, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around 32°C. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$903Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from major models show Beijing's August 22 maximum temperature most likely falling in the 31–33°C range, with thunderstorm activity and increasing cloud cover expected to limit surface heating. Regional pressure patterns and moisture from the East Asian monsoon favor scattered convection that can cap daytime peaks, while late-August climatology already features a gradual seasonal decline from mid-month highs. Ensemble guidance indicates modest uncertainty tied to exact timing and intensity of any showers, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds around 32°C. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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