Recent short-range model guidance from MetService and international ensembles points to a highest temperature near 12–13 °C in Wellington on 20 August, keeping those two outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Southerly flows ahead of a weak front are expected to limit daytime heating while variable cloud cover and possible showers further cap the maximum, consistent with near-average winter conditions outlined in the NIWA seasonal outlook. Small differences between 12 °C and 13 °C hinge on the precise timing of any clearing, local wind speeds around the harbor, and model adjustments to boundary-layer mixing. Updated forecast runs and official MetService briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift the narrow spread between these leading bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on August 20?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 20?
12°C 49%
13°C 45%
11°C 7%
14°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
7%
12°C
49%
13°C
45%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
1%
12°C 49%
13°C 45%
11°C 7%
14°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
6°C or below
$196 Wol.
<1%
7°C
$196 Wol.
<1%
8°C
$50 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$20 Wol.
1%
10°C
$18 Wol.
2%
11°C
$51 Wol.
7%
12°C
$234 Wol.
49%
13°C
$161 Wol.
45%
14°C
$11 Wol.
3%
15°C
$5 Wol.
2%
16°C or higher
$17 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from MetService and international ensembles points to a highest temperature near 12–13 °C in Wellington on 20 August, keeping those two outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Southerly flows ahead of a weak front are expected to limit daytime heating while variable cloud cover and possible showers further cap the maximum, consistent with near-average winter conditions outlined in the NIWA seasonal outlook. Small differences between 12 °C and 13 °C hinge on the precise timing of any clearing, local wind speeds around the harbor, and model adjustments to boundary-layer mixing. Updated forecast runs and official MetService briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift the narrow spread between these leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$959Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from MetService and international ensembles points to a highest temperature near 12–13 °C in Wellington on 20 August, keeping those two outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Southerly flows ahead of a weak front are expected to limit daytime heating while variable cloud cover and possible showers further cap the maximum, consistent with near-average winter conditions outlined in the NIWA seasonal outlook. Small differences between 12 °C and 13 °C hinge on the precise timing of any clearing, local wind speeds around the harbor, and model adjustments to boundary-layer mixing. Updated forecast runs and official MetService briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift the narrow spread between these leading bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$959Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model guidance from MetService and international ensembles points to a highest temperature near 12–13 °C in Wellington on 20 August, keeping those two outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing. Southerly flows ahead of a weak front are expected to limit daytime heating while variable cloud cover and possible showers further cap the maximum, consistent with near-average winter conditions outlined in the NIWA seasonal outlook. Small differences between 12 °C and 13 °C hinge on the precise timing of any clearing, local wind speeds around the harbor, and model adjustments to boundary-layer mixing. Updated forecast runs and official MetService briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts likely to shift the narrow spread between these leading bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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