The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates Metro Manila with widespread cloud cover, scattered to moderate rains, and high humidity, which caps daytime heating and keeps maximum temperatures near seasonal averages of 29–32°C. PAGASA outlooks through August 20 project highs in this range amid ongoing monsoon flow and an eastern low-pressure area, limiting solar insolation and favoring 30–31°C peaks over stronger warming. Trader consensus around these outcomes reflects model agreement on persistent moisture and limited breaks in cloudiness, with slight upside risk from any temporary clearing. Updated PAGASA guidance and regional model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key signals for final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on August 20?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 20?
31°C 26%
32°C 21%
30°C 17%
33°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
17%
31°C
26%
32°C
21%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 26%
32°C 21%
30°C 17%
33°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
25°C or below
$196 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$28 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$13 Wol.
1%
28°C
$20 Wol.
7%
29°C
$5 Wol.
11%
30°C
$0 Wol.
17%
31°C
$0 Wol.
26%
32°C
$0 Wol.
21%
33°C
$1 Wol.
12%
34°C
$126 Wol.
3%
35°C or higher
$7 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates Metro Manila with widespread cloud cover, scattered to moderate rains, and high humidity, which caps daytime heating and keeps maximum temperatures near seasonal averages of 29–32°C. PAGASA outlooks through August 20 project highs in this range amid ongoing monsoon flow and an eastern low-pressure area, limiting solar insolation and favoring 30–31°C peaks over stronger warming. Trader consensus around these outcomes reflects model agreement on persistent moisture and limited breaks in cloudiness, with slight upside risk from any temporary clearing. Updated PAGASA guidance and regional model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key signals for final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$396Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates Metro Manila with widespread cloud cover, scattered to moderate rains, and high humidity, which caps daytime heating and keeps maximum temperatures near seasonal averages of 29–32°C. PAGASA outlooks through August 20 project highs in this range amid ongoing monsoon flow and an eastern low-pressure area, limiting solar insolation and favoring 30–31°C peaks over stronger warming. Trader consensus around these outcomes reflects model agreement on persistent moisture and limited breaks in cloudiness, with slight upside risk from any temporary clearing. Updated PAGASA guidance and regional model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key signals for final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$396Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominates Metro Manila with widespread cloud cover, scattered to moderate rains, and high humidity, which caps daytime heating and keeps maximum temperatures near seasonal averages of 29–32°C. PAGASA outlooks through August 20 project highs in this range amid ongoing monsoon flow and an eastern low-pressure area, limiting solar insolation and favoring 30–31°C peaks over stronger warming. Trader consensus around these outcomes reflects model agreement on persistent moisture and limited breaks in cloudiness, with slight upside risk from any temporary clearing. Updated PAGASA guidance and regional model runs over the next 48 hours will provide the key signals for final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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