Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show Moscow's August 20 maximum temperature likely settling in the 20–22°C range, with limited day-to-day model spread and no strong warm or cold advection expected. Moderate high pressure, typical late-summer insolation, and variable cloud cover create the primary uncertainty, as small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology supports this narrow band, while light winds reduce extreme heating potential. Trader consensus at roughly equal implied probabilities for 20°C and 21°C, with declining odds for 22°C and below 19°C, reflects this tight forecast distribution and the limited time remaining for significant pattern changes before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 20?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 20?
20°C 34%
21°C 34%
22°C 16%
19°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
13%
20°C
34%
21°C
34%
22°C
23%
23°C
11%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
2%
20°C 34%
21°C 34%
22°C 16%
19°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
16°C or below
$10 Wol.
2%
17°C
$133 Wol.
4%
18°C
$216 Wol.
2%
19°C
$15 Wol.
13%
20°C
$5 Wol.
34%
21°C
$0 Wol.
34%
22°C
$26 Wol.
23%
23°C
$15 Wol.
11%
24°C
$10 Wol.
7%
25°C
$5 Wol.
7%
26°C or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show Moscow's August 20 maximum temperature likely settling in the 20–22°C range, with limited day-to-day model spread and no strong warm or cold advection expected. Moderate high pressure, typical late-summer insolation, and variable cloud cover create the primary uncertainty, as small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology supports this narrow band, while light winds reduce extreme heating potential. Trader consensus at roughly equal implied probabilities for 20°C and 21°C, with declining odds for 22°C and below 19°C, reflects this tight forecast distribution and the limited time remaining for significant pattern changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$440Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show Moscow's August 20 maximum temperature likely settling in the 20–22°C range, with limited day-to-day model spread and no strong warm or cold advection expected. Moderate high pressure, typical late-summer insolation, and variable cloud cover create the primary uncertainty, as small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology supports this narrow band, while light winds reduce extreme heating potential. Trader consensus at roughly equal implied probabilities for 20°C and 21°C, with declining odds for 22°C and below 19°C, reflects this tight forecast distribution and the limited time remaining for significant pattern changes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$440Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models show Moscow's August 20 maximum temperature likely settling in the 20–22°C range, with limited day-to-day model spread and no strong warm or cold advection expected. Moderate high pressure, typical late-summer insolation, and variable cloud cover create the primary uncertainty, as small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology supports this narrow band, while light winds reduce extreme heating potential. Trader consensus at roughly equal implied probabilities for 20°C and 21°C, with declining odds for 22°C and below 19°C, reflects this tight forecast distribution and the limited time remaining for significant pattern changes before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania