Short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and Mediterranean models converge on a daytime maximum of 31–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 20 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly sea breezes that moderate temperatures via advection from the cooler Mediterranean. This climatological setup, with August averages near 30–32°C and minimal ensemble spread, drives the near-even split between 32°C and 33°C implied probabilities while keeping higher outcomes below 7%. Minor differences in breeze strength, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle subsidence variations can tip the peak by 1°C; updated model runs and any last-minute wind shifts represent the key catalysts ahead of official resolution, likely tied to Ben Gurion Airport observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 20?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 20?
32°C 48%
33°C 47%
34°C 6%
31°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
48%
33°C
47%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 48%
33°C 47%
34°C 6%
31°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
29°C or below
$29 Wol.
1%
30°C
$34 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$214 Wol.
4%
32°C
$285 Wol.
48%
33°C
$323 Wol.
47%
34°C
$147 Wol.
6%
35°C
$50 Wol.
1%
36°C
$29 Wol.
1%
37°C
$29 Wol.
1%
38°C
$34 Wol.
1%
39°C or higher
$196 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and Mediterranean models converge on a daytime maximum of 31–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 20 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly sea breezes that moderate temperatures via advection from the cooler Mediterranean. This climatological setup, with August averages near 30–32°C and minimal ensemble spread, drives the near-even split between 32°C and 33°C implied probabilities while keeping higher outcomes below 7%. Minor differences in breeze strength, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle subsidence variations can tip the peak by 1°C; updated model runs and any last-minute wind shifts represent the key catalysts ahead of official resolution, likely tied to Ben Gurion Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,370Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and Mediterranean models converge on a daytime maximum of 31–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 20 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly sea breezes that moderate temperatures via advection from the cooler Mediterranean. This climatological setup, with August averages near 30–32°C and minimal ensemble spread, drives the near-even split between 32°C and 33°C implied probabilities while keeping higher outcomes below 7%. Minor differences in breeze strength, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle subsidence variations can tip the peak by 1°C; updated model runs and any last-minute wind shifts represent the key catalysts ahead of official resolution, likely tied to Ben Gurion Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,370Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and Mediterranean models converge on a daytime maximum of 31–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 20 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly sea breezes that moderate temperatures via advection from the cooler Mediterranean. This climatological setup, with August averages near 30–32°C and minimal ensemble spread, drives the near-even split between 32°C and 33°C implied probabilities while keeping higher outcomes below 7%. Minor differences in breeze strength, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle subsidence variations can tip the peak by 1°C; updated model runs and any last-minute wind shifts represent the key catalysts ahead of official resolution, likely tied to Ben Gurion Airport observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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