Forecast consensus from official sources including the UK Met Office and regional models points to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable high-pressure conditions, sunny skies, and light southwesterly flow typical of mid-August Mediterranean climate. Sea breezes from the adjacent Mediterranean moderate coastal readings while limiting extreme heating, aligning closely with the long-term climatological average of 30–32°C and recent observations showing no active heatwave or subtropical ridge strengthening. Narrow model agreement and absence of anomalous warm advection keep implied probabilities concentrated on 31°C (35.5%) and 32°C (51.5%), with only modest scope for 33°C if winds weaken. Final station measurements will resolve the market once diurnal peaks are recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18?
32°C 52%
31°C 38%
33°C 9%
30°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
38%
32°C
52%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 52%
31°C 38%
33°C 9%
30°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
$15 Wol.
2%
29°C
$35 Wol.
3%
30°C
$78 Wol.
4%
31°C
$28 Wol.
38%
32°C
$90 Wol.
52%
33°C
$39 Wol.
9%
34°C
$68 Wol.
2%
35°C
$15 Wol.
3%
36°C
$10 Wol.
3%
37°C
$10 Wol.
3%
38°C or higher
$135 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from official sources including the UK Met Office and regional models points to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable high-pressure conditions, sunny skies, and light southwesterly flow typical of mid-August Mediterranean climate. Sea breezes from the adjacent Mediterranean moderate coastal readings while limiting extreme heating, aligning closely with the long-term climatological average of 30–32°C and recent observations showing no active heatwave or subtropical ridge strengthening. Narrow model agreement and absence of anomalous warm advection keep implied probabilities concentrated on 31°C (35.5%) and 32°C (51.5%), with only modest scope for 33°C if winds weaken. Final station measurements will resolve the market once diurnal peaks are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$522Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from official sources including the UK Met Office and regional models points to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable high-pressure conditions, sunny skies, and light southwesterly flow typical of mid-August Mediterranean climate. Sea breezes from the adjacent Mediterranean moderate coastal readings while limiting extreme heating, aligning closely with the long-term climatological average of 30–32°C and recent observations showing no active heatwave or subtropical ridge strengthening. Narrow model agreement and absence of anomalous warm advection keep implied probabilities concentrated on 31°C (35.5%) and 32°C (51.5%), with only modest scope for 33°C if winds weaken. Final station measurements will resolve the market once diurnal peaks are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$522Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from official sources including the UK Met Office and regional models points to a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under stable high-pressure conditions, sunny skies, and light southwesterly flow typical of mid-August Mediterranean climate. Sea breezes from the adjacent Mediterranean moderate coastal readings while limiting extreme heating, aligning closely with the long-term climatological average of 30–32°C and recent observations showing no active heatwave or subtropical ridge strengthening. Narrow model agreement and absence of anomalous warm advection keep implied probabilities concentrated on 31°C (35.5%) and 32°C (51.5%), with only modest scope for 33°C if winds weaken. Final station measurements will resolve the market once diurnal peaks are recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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