Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions dominate Metro Manila, driving cloudy skies and scattered showers that moderate daytime heating ahead of August 18. PAGASA outlooks project highs of 29–31°C with 60% rain probability, consistent with August climatology near 31°C but tempered by the ongoing monsoon trough. Recent heavy rainfall episodes from August 15–17 further support suppressed maxima through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward historical peaks near 33°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and satellite observations through the 17th represent the next key data points for refining implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on August 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 18?
28°C 28%
29°C 25%
31°C 19%
27°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
17%
26°C
10%
27°C
18%
28°C
28%
29°C
25%
30°C
15%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
15%
28°C 28%
29°C 25%
31°C 19%
27°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
23°C
$0 Wol.
1%
24°C
$0 Wol.
1%
25°C
$0 Wol.
17%
26°C
$0 Wol.
10%
27°C
$0 Wol.
18%
28°C
$0 Wol.
28%
29°C
$0 Wol.
25%
30°C
$0 Wol.
15%
31°C
$0 Wol.
19%
32°C or higher
$0 Wol.
15%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions dominate Metro Manila, driving cloudy skies and scattered showers that moderate daytime heating ahead of August 18. PAGASA outlooks project highs of 29–31°C with 60% rain probability, consistent with August climatology near 31°C but tempered by the ongoing monsoon trough. Recent heavy rainfall episodes from August 15–17 further support suppressed maxima through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward historical peaks near 33°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and satellite observations through the 17th represent the next key data points for refining implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions dominate Metro Manila, driving cloudy skies and scattered showers that moderate daytime heating ahead of August 18. PAGASA outlooks project highs of 29–31°C with 60% rain probability, consistent with August climatology near 31°C but tempered by the ongoing monsoon trough. Recent heavy rainfall episodes from August 15–17 further support suppressed maxima through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward historical peaks near 33°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and satellite observations through the 17th represent the next key data points for refining implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions dominate Metro Manila, driving cloudy skies and scattered showers that moderate daytime heating ahead of August 18. PAGASA outlooks project highs of 29–31°C with 60% rain probability, consistent with August climatology near 31°C but tempered by the ongoing monsoon trough. Recent heavy rainfall episodes from August 15–17 further support suppressed maxima through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against potential breaks in cloud cover that could allow brief warming toward historical peaks near 33°C. Updated PAGASA briefings and satellite observations through the 17th represent the next key data points for refining implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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