Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and AEMET indicate Madrid will experience sunny skies and light winds on August 18, supporting peak temperatures near 38°C as the market leader. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 37–39°C due to subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, surface heating under clear conditions, and minor differences in southerly advection from the Iberian plateau. A brief respite from earlier heatwave patterns, with reduced cloud cover compared to mid-August, favors the upper end of the distribution, while any unexpected increase in humidity or wind could cap readings at 37°C. Official confirmation from AEMET will resolve the market once final observations are recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on August 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 18?
38°C 41%
39°C 32%
37°C 16%
40°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
16%
38°C
41%
39°C
32%
40°C
6%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
38°C 41%
39°C 32%
37°C 16%
40°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
34°C or below
$168 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$168 Wol.
1%
36°C
$97 Wol.
2%
37°C
$250 Wol.
16%
38°C
$261 Wol.
41%
39°C
$254 Wol.
32%
40°C
$271 Wol.
6%
41°C
$170 Wol.
1%
42°C
$10 Wol.
<1%
43°C
$168 Wol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$263 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and AEMET indicate Madrid will experience sunny skies and light winds on August 18, supporting peak temperatures near 38°C as the market leader. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 37–39°C due to subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, surface heating under clear conditions, and minor differences in southerly advection from the Iberian plateau. A brief respite from earlier heatwave patterns, with reduced cloud cover compared to mid-August, favors the upper end of the distribution, while any unexpected increase in humidity or wind could cap readings at 37°C. Official confirmation from AEMET will resolve the market once final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,081Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and AEMET indicate Madrid will experience sunny skies and light winds on August 18, supporting peak temperatures near 38°C as the market leader. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 37–39°C due to subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, surface heating under clear conditions, and minor differences in southerly advection from the Iberian plateau. A brief respite from earlier heatwave patterns, with reduced cloud cover compared to mid-August, favors the upper end of the distribution, while any unexpected increase in humidity or wind could cap readings at 37°C. Official confirmation from AEMET will resolve the market once final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,081Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the BBC and AEMET indicate Madrid will experience sunny skies and light winds on August 18, supporting peak temperatures near 38°C as the market leader. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around 37–39°C due to subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, surface heating under clear conditions, and minor differences in southerly advection from the Iberian plateau. A brief respite from earlier heatwave patterns, with reduced cloud cover compared to mid-August, favors the upper end of the distribution, while any unexpected increase in humidity or wind could cap readings at 37°C. Official confirmation from AEMET will resolve the market once final observations are recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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