Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Wuhan likely peaking in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius on August 20 under continued subtropical monsoon conditions, with highs near 33–34 °C most probable. Persistent high humidity, light northeasterly flow, and variable afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers create the narrow spread reflected in trader-implied odds clustered around 33–35 °C. Historical August climatology (average daily maximum near 32–34 °C) provides context, yet day-to-day model revisions on insolation and boundary-layer mixing keep 33 °C and 35 °C outcomes nearly even. Updated guidance on August 19 will refine whether clearer skies allow a 35 °C reading or increased moisture caps the peak at 33 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 20?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 20?
34°C 31%
35°C 25%
33°C 20%
32°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
11%
33°C
20%
34°C
31%
35°C
25%
36°C
11%
37°C
7%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 31%
35°C 25%
33°C 20%
32°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
29°C or below
$281 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$127 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$9 Wol.
2%
32°C
$9 Wol.
11%
33°C
$3 Wol.
20%
34°C
$0 Wol.
31%
35°C
$0 Wol.
25%
36°C
$11 Wol.
11%
37°C
$5 Wol.
7%
38°C
$5 Wol.
4%
39°C or higher
$17 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Wuhan likely peaking in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius on August 20 under continued subtropical monsoon conditions, with highs near 33–34 °C most probable. Persistent high humidity, light northeasterly flow, and variable afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers create the narrow spread reflected in trader-implied odds clustered around 33–35 °C. Historical August climatology (average daily maximum near 32–34 °C) provides context, yet day-to-day model revisions on insolation and boundary-layer mixing keep 33 °C and 35 °C outcomes nearly even. Updated guidance on August 19 will refine whether clearer skies allow a 35 °C reading or increased moisture caps the peak at 33 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$468Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Wuhan likely peaking in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius on August 20 under continued subtropical monsoon conditions, with highs near 33–34 °C most probable. Persistent high humidity, light northeasterly flow, and variable afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers create the narrow spread reflected in trader-implied odds clustered around 33–35 °C. Historical August climatology (average daily maximum near 32–34 °C) provides context, yet day-to-day model revisions on insolation and boundary-layer mixing keep 33 °C and 35 °C outcomes nearly even. Updated guidance on August 19 will refine whether clearer skies allow a 35 °C reading or increased moisture caps the peak at 33 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$468Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Wuhan likely peaking in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius on August 20 under continued subtropical monsoon conditions, with highs near 33–34 °C most probable. Persistent high humidity, light northeasterly flow, and variable afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers create the narrow spread reflected in trader-implied odds clustered around 33–35 °C. Historical August climatology (average daily maximum near 32–34 °C) provides context, yet day-to-day model revisions on insolation and boundary-layer mixing keep 33 °C and 35 °C outcomes nearly even. Updated guidance on August 19 will refine whether clearer skies allow a 35 °C reading or increased moisture caps the peak at 33 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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