Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate maximum temperatures in Moscow on August 19 clustered between 18–20°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited solar heating under a mid-latitude trough. This atmospheric setup suppresses daytime warming relative to typical mid-August conditions, where historical averages reach 20–22°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with traders weighing ensemble spread in short-range guidance that shows modest day-to-day variability from evolving frontal boundaries. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the event.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 19?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 19?
19°C 32%
18°C 25%
20°C 22%
17°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
4%
17°C
13%
18°C
25%
19°C
32%
20°C
22%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
19°C 32%
18°C 25%
20°C 22%
17°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
16°C or below
$899 Wol.
4%
17°C
$247 Wol.
13%
18°C
$67 Wol.
25%
19°C
$80 Wol.
32%
20°C
$258 Wol.
22%
21°C
$41 Wol.
7%
22°C
$17 Wol.
3%
23°C
$110 Wol.
3%
24°C
$1,279 Wol.
1%
25°C
$145 Wol.
2%
26°C or higher
$90 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate maximum temperatures in Moscow on August 19 clustered between 18–20°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited solar heating under a mid-latitude trough. This atmospheric setup suppresses daytime warming relative to typical mid-August conditions, where historical averages reach 20–22°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with traders weighing ensemble spread in short-range guidance that shows modest day-to-day variability from evolving frontal boundaries. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,143Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate maximum temperatures in Moscow on August 19 clustered between 18–20°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited solar heating under a mid-latitude trough. This atmospheric setup suppresses daytime warming relative to typical mid-August conditions, where historical averages reach 20–22°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with traders weighing ensemble spread in short-range guidance that shows modest day-to-day variability from evolving frontal boundaries. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,143Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models indicate maximum temperatures in Moscow on August 19 clustered between 18–20°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light precipitation, and limited solar heating under a mid-latitude trough. This atmospheric setup suppresses daytime warming relative to typical mid-August conditions, where historical averages reach 20–22°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with traders weighing ensemble spread in short-range guidance that shows modest day-to-day variability from evolving frontal boundaries. Updated runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the event.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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