Ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS show peak temperatures in Milan on August 19 most likely between 32–34°C under a persistent anticyclone driving subsidence warming and mostly clear skies over the Po Valley. Subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon convective timing, and any light winds or scattered cloud cover create the narrow spread separating 32°C and 33°C outcomes, each at 33% market-implied probability. Milan’s urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C locally during peak insolation, while historical August maxima near 30°C provide context; any earlier destabilization or thundery showers would favor the lower end of the range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on August 19?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 19?
32°C 35%
33°C 35%
31°C 17%
34°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
30°C or below
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
35%
33°C
35%
34°C
12%
35°C
5%
36°C
6%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 35%
33°C 35%
31°C 17%
34°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
30°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
31°C
$4 Wol.
17%
32°C
$6 Wol.
35%
33°C
$15 Wol.
35%
34°C
$0 Wol.
12%
35°C
$0 Wol.
5%
36°C
$6 Wol.
6%
37°C
$5 Wol.
4%
38°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
39°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$5 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS show peak temperatures in Milan on August 19 most likely between 32–34°C under a persistent anticyclone driving subsidence warming and mostly clear skies over the Po Valley. Subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon convective timing, and any light winds or scattered cloud cover create the narrow spread separating 32°C and 33°C outcomes, each at 33% market-implied probability. Milan’s urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C locally during peak insolation, while historical August maxima near 30°C provide context; any earlier destabilization or thundery showers would favor the lower end of the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$51Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS show peak temperatures in Milan on August 19 most likely between 32–34°C under a persistent anticyclone driving subsidence warming and mostly clear skies over the Po Valley. Subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon convective timing, and any light winds or scattered cloud cover create the narrow spread separating 32°C and 33°C outcomes, each at 33% market-implied probability. Milan’s urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C locally during peak insolation, while historical August maxima near 30°C provide context; any earlier destabilization or thundery showers would favor the lower end of the range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$51Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS show peak temperatures in Milan on August 19 most likely between 32–34°C under a persistent anticyclone driving subsidence warming and mostly clear skies over the Po Valley. Subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture, afternoon convective timing, and any light winds or scattered cloud cover create the narrow spread separating 32°C and 33°C outcomes, each at 33% market-implied probability. Milan’s urban heat island effect can add 1–2°C locally during peak insolation, while historical August maxima near 30°C provide context; any earlier destabilization or thundery showers would favor the lower end of the range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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