Trader sentiment heavily favors a minimum of 28°C in Hong Kong on August 17, reflecting forecast models that project overnight lows near 27–29°C amid persistent subtropical summer conditions. High humidity, frequent showers or thunderstorms, and limited radiative cooling overnight—common in August—support this range, consistent with climatological baselines showing typical minima around 25–28°C. Recent model guidance indicates possible cloud cover and light rain that could prevent sharper drops, while the urban heat island effect further stabilizes temperatures. The 27°C and 29°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in timing of any clearing skies or precipitation intensity, with data releases from the Hong Kong Observatory expected to refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?
28°C 64%
29°C 18%
27°C 16%
26°C 5%
NOWE
$17,390 Wol.
NOWE
$17,390 Wol.
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
64%
29°C
18%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 64%
29°C 18%
27°C 16%
26°C 5%
NOWE
$17,390 Wol.
NOWE
$17,390 Wol.
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
$502 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$556 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$1,456 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$2,055 Wol.
5%
27°C
$1,372 Wol.
16%
28°C
$4,423 Wol.
64%
29°C
$1,846 Wol.
18%
30°C
$3,253 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$496 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$491 Wol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$941 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment heavily favors a minimum of 28°C in Hong Kong on August 17, reflecting forecast models that project overnight lows near 27–29°C amid persistent subtropical summer conditions. High humidity, frequent showers or thunderstorms, and limited radiative cooling overnight—common in August—support this range, consistent with climatological baselines showing typical minima around 25–28°C. Recent model guidance indicates possible cloud cover and light rain that could prevent sharper drops, while the urban heat island effect further stabilizes temperatures. The 27°C and 29°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in timing of any clearing skies or precipitation intensity, with data releases from the Hong Kong Observatory expected to refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,390Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment heavily favors a minimum of 28°C in Hong Kong on August 17, reflecting forecast models that project overnight lows near 27–29°C amid persistent subtropical summer conditions. High humidity, frequent showers or thunderstorms, and limited radiative cooling overnight—common in August—support this range, consistent with climatological baselines showing typical minima around 25–28°C. Recent model guidance indicates possible cloud cover and light rain that could prevent sharper drops, while the urban heat island effect further stabilizes temperatures. The 27°C and 29°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in timing of any clearing skies or precipitation intensity, with data releases from the Hong Kong Observatory expected to refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$17,390Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment heavily favors a minimum of 28°C in Hong Kong on August 17, reflecting forecast models that project overnight lows near 27–29°C amid persistent subtropical summer conditions. High humidity, frequent showers or thunderstorms, and limited radiative cooling overnight—common in August—support this range, consistent with climatological baselines showing typical minima around 25–28°C. Recent model guidance indicates possible cloud cover and light rain that could prevent sharper drops, while the urban heat island effect further stabilizes temperatures. The 27°C and 29°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in timing of any clearing skies or precipitation intensity, with data releases from the Hong Kong Observatory expected to refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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