Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw of 29–31°C on August 16 under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and weak high-pressure influence promoting subsidence warming and strong solar heating. This places the market’s leading outcomes of 30°C (35.5%) and 29°C (28.5%) in line with ensemble consensus, while the 19.5% implied probability for 31°C reflects residual uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud build-up or slight timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary. Mid-August climatology shows average highs near 24°C, so the current warm anomaly stems from persistent southerly flow and clear conditions observed through August 15. Updated short-range runs and morning observations will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 16?
29°C 34%
30°C 34%
31°C 20%
32°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
34%
30°C
34%
31°C
20%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 34%
30°C 34%
31°C 20%
32°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
$267 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$368 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$492 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$480 Wol.
1%
27°C
$545 Wol.
3%
28°C
$783 Wol.
7%
29°C
$1,277 Wol.
34%
30°C
$1,196 Wol.
34%
31°C
$1,942 Wol.
20%
32°C
$1,603 Wol.
7%
33°C or higher
$481 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw of 29–31°C on August 16 under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and weak high-pressure influence promoting subsidence warming and strong solar heating. This places the market’s leading outcomes of 30°C (35.5%) and 29°C (28.5%) in line with ensemble consensus, while the 19.5% implied probability for 31°C reflects residual uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud build-up or slight timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary. Mid-August climatology shows average highs near 24°C, so the current warm anomaly stems from persistent southerly flow and clear conditions observed through August 15. Updated short-range runs and morning observations will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,434Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw of 29–31°C on August 16 under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and weak high-pressure influence promoting subsidence warming and strong solar heating. This places the market’s leading outcomes of 30°C (35.5%) and 29°C (28.5%) in line with ensemble consensus, while the 19.5% implied probability for 31°C reflects residual uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud build-up or slight timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary. Mid-August climatology shows average highs near 24°C, so the current warm anomaly stems from persistent southerly flow and clear conditions observed through August 15. Updated short-range runs and morning observations will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,434Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate a maximum temperature in Warsaw of 29–31°C on August 16 under partly cloudy skies, light winds, and weak high-pressure influence promoting subsidence warming and strong solar heating. This places the market’s leading outcomes of 30°C (35.5%) and 29°C (28.5%) in line with ensemble consensus, while the 19.5% implied probability for 31°C reflects residual uncertainty from potential afternoon cloud build-up or slight timing shifts in any weak frontal boundary. Mid-August climatology shows average highs near 24°C, so the current warm anomaly stems from persistent southerly flow and clear conditions observed through August 15. Updated short-range runs and morning observations will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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