Recent forecasts from the Met Office indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for London on August 16, 2026, under mostly dry and settled conditions with light winds and clear intervals that limit radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with a broader pattern of above-average minimum temperatures across the UK this summer, driven by persistent high pressure and warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures influencing air masses. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around 16–18°C, reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical mid-August averages for London overnight lows hover near 13–14°C, underscoring how the current mild regime supports the market clustering on 16–18°C outcomes as the most probable range before the next forecast update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 16?
Lowest temperature in London on August 16?
17°C 41%
18°C 30%
16°C 25%
19°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
25%
17°C
41%
18°C
30%
19°C
7%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 41%
18°C 30%
16°C 25%
19°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
14°C or below
$83 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$336 Wol.
2%
16°C
$1,370 Wol.
25%
17°C
$2,264 Wol.
41%
18°C
$1,512 Wol.
30%
19°C
$663 Wol.
7%
20°C
$117 Wol.
1%
21°C
$131 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$131 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$141 Wol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$151 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for London on August 16, 2026, under mostly dry and settled conditions with light winds and clear intervals that limit radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with a broader pattern of above-average minimum temperatures across the UK this summer, driven by persistent high pressure and warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures influencing air masses. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around 16–18°C, reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical mid-August averages for London overnight lows hover near 13–14°C, underscoring how the current mild regime supports the market clustering on 16–18°C outcomes as the most probable range before the next forecast update.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,898Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for London on August 16, 2026, under mostly dry and settled conditions with light winds and clear intervals that limit radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with a broader pattern of above-average minimum temperatures across the UK this summer, driven by persistent high pressure and warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures influencing air masses. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around 16–18°C, reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical mid-August averages for London overnight lows hover near 13–14°C, underscoring how the current mild regime supports the market clustering on 16–18°C outcomes as the most probable range before the next forecast update.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,898Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C for London on August 16, 2026, under mostly dry and settled conditions with light winds and clear intervals that limit radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with a broader pattern of above-average minimum temperatures across the UK this summer, driven by persistent high pressure and warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures influencing air masses. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around 16–18°C, reflecting modest uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Historical mid-August averages for London overnight lows hover near 13–14°C, underscoring how the current mild regime supports the market clustering on 16–18°C outcomes as the most probable range before the next forecast update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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