Recent model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF points to overnight lows near 18–20°C in London on August 17 as the dominant driver behind the tightly clustered market odds. Persistent mild Atlantic air, elevated dew points, and increasing cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise drop temperatures further. Historical August minima average around 13–15°C, but this year's warmer baseline and lack of strong high pressure are supporting the higher range. Traders are weighing subtle differences in forecast guidance on exact cloud timing and any last-minute frontal passage, with resolution hinging on official observations from sites like Heathrow. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift positioning ahead of the close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 17?
Lowest temperature in London on August 17?
18°C 37%
20°C 32%
19°C 25%
17°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
7%
17°C
16%
18°C
37%
19°C
21%
20°C
32%
21°C
11%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 37%
20°C 32%
19°C 25%
17°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
13°C or below
$20 Wol.
1%
14°C
$5 Wol.
5%
15°C
$5 Wol.
7%
16°C
$20 Wol.
7%
17°C
$82 Wol.
16%
18°C
$94 Wol.
37%
19°C
$329 Wol.
21%
20°C
$493 Wol.
32%
21°C
$25 Wol.
11%
22°C
$5 Wol.
2%
23°C or higher
$40 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF points to overnight lows near 18–20°C in London on August 17 as the dominant driver behind the tightly clustered market odds. Persistent mild Atlantic air, elevated dew points, and increasing cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise drop temperatures further. Historical August minima average around 13–15°C, but this year's warmer baseline and lack of strong high pressure are supporting the higher range. Traders are weighing subtle differences in forecast guidance on exact cloud timing and any last-minute frontal passage, with resolution hinging on official observations from sites like Heathrow. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift positioning ahead of the close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,117Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF points to overnight lows near 18–20°C in London on August 17 as the dominant driver behind the tightly clustered market odds. Persistent mild Atlantic air, elevated dew points, and increasing cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise drop temperatures further. Historical August minima average around 13–15°C, but this year's warmer baseline and lack of strong high pressure are supporting the higher range. Traders are weighing subtle differences in forecast guidance on exact cloud timing and any last-minute frontal passage, with resolution hinging on official observations from sites like Heathrow. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift positioning ahead of the close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,117Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Met Office and ECMWF points to overnight lows near 18–20°C in London on August 17 as the dominant driver behind the tightly clustered market odds. Persistent mild Atlantic air, elevated dew points, and increasing cloud cover are limiting radiative cooling, while light winds reduce mixing that could otherwise drop temperatures further. Historical August minima average around 13–15°C, but this year's warmer baseline and lack of strong high pressure are supporting the higher range. Traders are weighing subtle differences in forecast guidance on exact cloud timing and any last-minute frontal passage, with resolution hinging on official observations from sites like Heathrow. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours could shift positioning ahead of the close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania