Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate minimum temperatures near 26–28°C on August 15 under persistent southwesterly flow and high humidity typical of late-summer conditions in the region. Actual overnight lows recorded early on the 15th aligned precisely with the 26°C threshold, locking in trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time observational data from official stations alongside climatological baselines where August minima rarely dip below 25°C absent strong northerly surges or typhoon influences. A rapid, unexpected shift in wind direction or an unforecast convective outbreak could theoretically lower readings, though current atmospheric stability and model agreement make such revisions improbable before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
26°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$44,298 Wol.
$44,298 Wol.
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$44,298 Wol.
$44,298 Wol.
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$723 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$5,016 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$3,312 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$5,983 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$11,681 Wol.
100%
27°C
$8,338 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$4,934 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$2,370 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,073 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$430 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$440 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate minimum temperatures near 26–28°C on August 15 under persistent southwesterly flow and high humidity typical of late-summer conditions in the region. Actual overnight lows recorded early on the 15th aligned precisely with the 26°C threshold, locking in trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time observational data from official stations alongside climatological baselines where August minima rarely dip below 25°C absent strong northerly surges or typhoon influences. A rapid, unexpected shift in wind direction or an unforecast convective outbreak could theoretically lower readings, though current atmospheric stability and model agreement make such revisions improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$44,298Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate minimum temperatures near 26–28°C on August 15 under persistent southwesterly flow and high humidity typical of late-summer conditions in the region. Actual overnight lows recorded early on the 15th aligned precisely with the 26°C threshold, locking in trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time observational data from official stations alongside climatological baselines where August minima rarely dip below 25°C absent strong northerly surges or typhoon influences. A rapid, unexpected shift in wind direction or an unforecast convective outbreak could theoretically lower readings, though current atmospheric stability and model agreement make such revisions improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$44,298Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate minimum temperatures near 26–28°C on August 15 under persistent southwesterly flow and high humidity typical of late-summer conditions in the region. Actual overnight lows recorded early on the 15th aligned precisely with the 26°C threshold, locking in trader consensus at near-100% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating real-time observational data from official stations alongside climatological baselines where August minima rarely dip below 25°C absent strong northerly surges or typhoon influences. A rapid, unexpected shift in wind direction or an unforecast convective outbreak could theoretically lower readings, though current atmospheric stability and model agreement make such revisions improbable before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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