Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on August 14, 2026, reached exactly 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory, aligning with the dominant market-implied outcome at 100% probability. This reflects typical mid-August nocturnal conditions in the subtropical climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity sustain overnight lows near 26–28°C amid persistent warm advection from the south. Recent heatwave patterns, including record daytime maxima above 36°C earlier in the month, further supported elevated baseline temperatures without significant cooling from frontal systems or rainfall. While forecast model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional data reinforced this range, minor variations in station siting or microclimatic effects could theoretically shift readings by 1°C, though official verification criteria make such adjustments improbable for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$74,584 Wol.
$74,584 Wol.
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$74,584 Wol.
$74,584 Wol.
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
$2,697 Wol.
No
23°C
$4,022 Wol.
No
24°C
$6,030 Wol.
No
25°C
$10,309 Wol.
No
26°C
$12,476 Wol.
Yes
27°C
$17,941 Wol.
No
28°C
$6,732 Wol.
No
29°C
$8,527 Wol.
No
30°C
$4,174 Wol.
No
31°C
$567 Wol.
No
32°C or higher
$1,108 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on August 14, 2026, reached exactly 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory, aligning with the dominant market-implied outcome at 100% probability. This reflects typical mid-August nocturnal conditions in the subtropical climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity sustain overnight lows near 26–28°C amid persistent warm advection from the south. Recent heatwave patterns, including record daytime maxima above 36°C earlier in the month, further supported elevated baseline temperatures without significant cooling from frontal systems or rainfall. While forecast model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional data reinforced this range, minor variations in station siting or microclimatic effects could theoretically shift readings by 1°C, though official verification criteria make such adjustments improbable for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$74,584Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on August 14, 2026, reached exactly 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory, aligning with the dominant market-implied outcome at 100% probability. This reflects typical mid-August nocturnal conditions in the subtropical climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity sustain overnight lows near 26–28°C amid persistent warm advection from the south. Recent heatwave patterns, including record daytime maxima above 36°C earlier in the month, further supported elevated baseline temperatures without significant cooling from frontal systems or rainfall. While forecast model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional data reinforced this range, minor variations in station siting or microclimatic effects could theoretically shift readings by 1°C, though official verification criteria make such adjustments improbable for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$74,584Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on August 14, 2026, reached exactly 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory, aligning with the dominant market-implied outcome at 100% probability. This reflects typical mid-August nocturnal conditions in the subtropical climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity sustain overnight lows near 26–28°C amid persistent warm advection from the south. Recent heatwave patterns, including record daytime maxima above 36°C earlier in the month, further supported elevated baseline temperatures without significant cooling from frontal systems or rainfall. While forecast model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional data reinforced this range, minor variations in station siting or microclimatic effects could theoretically shift readings by 1°C, though official verification criteria make such adjustments improbable for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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