Forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and TravelChinaGuide indicate a daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate, and scattered thundershowers that reduce solar heating. These conditions align with the market's concentration of implied probability on 30°C and 31°C outcomes, following similar readings around 29–30°C in recent days. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet the current pattern of increased moisture and limited sunshine lowers the chance of extremes above 33°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine land-based observations used for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 17?
31°C 43%
30°C 29%
32°C 14%
29°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
13%
30°C
29%
31°C
43%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
30°C 29%
32°C 14%
29°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
25°C or below
$159 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$82 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$21 Wol.
1%
28°C
$209 Wol.
3%
29°C
$399 Wol.
13%
30°C
$460 Wol.
29%
31°C
$429 Wol.
43%
32°C
$965 Wol.
14%
33°C
$104 Wol.
2%
34°C
$389 Wol.
2%
35°C or higher
$343 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and TravelChinaGuide indicate a daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate, and scattered thundershowers that reduce solar heating. These conditions align with the market's concentration of implied probability on 30°C and 31°C outcomes, following similar readings around 29–30°C in recent days. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet the current pattern of increased moisture and limited sunshine lowers the chance of extremes above 33°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine land-based observations used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,560Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and TravelChinaGuide indicate a daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate, and scattered thundershowers that reduce solar heating. These conditions align with the market's concentration of implied probability on 30°C and 31°C outcomes, following similar readings around 29–30°C in recent days. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet the current pattern of increased moisture and limited sunshine lowers the chance of extremes above 33°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine land-based observations used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,560Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and TravelChinaGuide indicate a daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate, and scattered thundershowers that reduce solar heating. These conditions align with the market's concentration of implied probability on 30°C and 31°C outcomes, following similar readings around 29–30°C in recent days. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, yet the current pattern of increased moisture and limited sunshine lowers the chance of extremes above 33°C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings expected overnight will refine land-based observations used for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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