Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daily high of 32–33°C for Beijing on August 17 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Seasonal cooling typical of mid-to-late August—historical highs decline from early-month peaks near 34°C toward the 30–31°C monthly average—combined with moderate humidity and no strong frontal systems supports this narrow range. Model consensus shows limited upward potential without unexpected clear, calm conditions that could push readings to 34°C, while any increased cloud cover or brief showers would favor 31°C or below. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities further.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on August 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 17?
32°C 42%
33°C 26%
31°C 20%
30°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
20%
32°C
42%
33°C
26%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 42%
33°C 26%
31°C 20%
30°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
$371 Wol.
1%
28°C
$826 Wol.
1%
29°C
$837 Wol.
3%
30°C
$645 Wol.
8%
31°C
$1,068 Wol.
20%
32°C
$371 Wol.
42%
33°C
$263 Wol.
26%
34°C
$482 Wol.
6%
35°C
$131 Wol.
1%
36°C
$550 Wol.
1%
37°C or higher
$416 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daily high of 32–33°C for Beijing on August 17 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Seasonal cooling typical of mid-to-late August—historical highs decline from early-month peaks near 34°C toward the 30–31°C monthly average—combined with moderate humidity and no strong frontal systems supports this narrow range. Model consensus shows limited upward potential without unexpected clear, calm conditions that could push readings to 34°C, while any increased cloud cover or brief showers would favor 31°C or below. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,961Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daily high of 32–33°C for Beijing on August 17 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Seasonal cooling typical of mid-to-late August—historical highs decline from early-month peaks near 34°C toward the 30–31°C monthly average—combined with moderate humidity and no strong frontal systems supports this narrow range. Model consensus shows limited upward potential without unexpected clear, calm conditions that could push readings to 34°C, while any increased cloud cover or brief showers would favor 31°C or below. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,961Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daily high of 32–33°C for Beijing on August 17 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those outcomes. Seasonal cooling typical of mid-to-late August—historical highs decline from early-month peaks near 34°C toward the 30–31°C monthly average—combined with moderate humidity and no strong frontal systems supports this narrow range. Model consensus shows limited upward potential without unexpected clear, calm conditions that could push readings to 34°C, while any increased cloud cover or brief showers would favor 31°C or below. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities further.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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