Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate persistent hot, humid conditions with showers and thunderstorms through August 18, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting daily minimum temperatures near 26–28°C. The near-even split between 26°C and 27°C market-implied odds reflects model uncertainty over exact cloud cover, rainfall timing, and wind patterns that modulate heat retention overnight. Seasonal outlooks point to normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with typical August climatology where minima rarely dip below 25°C absent unusual cold-air intrusions. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?
27°C 34%
26°C 27%
28°C 18%
25°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
11%
26°C
33%
27°C
34%
28°C
18%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 34%
26°C 27%
28°C 18%
25°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
23°C or below
$31 Wol.
1%
24°C
$198 Wol.
3%
25°C
$294 Wol.
11%
26°C
$199 Wol.
33%
27°C
$526 Wol.
34%
28°C
$287 Wol.
18%
29°C
$91 Wol.
4%
30°C
$42 Wol.
2%
31°C
$36 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$63 Wol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$648 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate persistent hot, humid conditions with showers and thunderstorms through August 18, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting daily minimum temperatures near 26–28°C. The near-even split between 26°C and 27°C market-implied odds reflects model uncertainty over exact cloud cover, rainfall timing, and wind patterns that modulate heat retention overnight. Seasonal outlooks point to normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with typical August climatology where minima rarely dip below 25°C absent unusual cold-air intrusions. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,416Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate persistent hot, humid conditions with showers and thunderstorms through August 18, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting daily minimum temperatures near 26–28°C. The near-even split between 26°C and 27°C market-implied odds reflects model uncertainty over exact cloud cover, rainfall timing, and wind patterns that modulate heat retention overnight. Seasonal outlooks point to normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with typical August climatology where minima rarely dip below 25°C absent unusual cold-air intrusions. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$2,416Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate persistent hot, humid conditions with showers and thunderstorms through August 18, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting daily minimum temperatures near 26–28°C. The near-even split between 26°C and 27°C market-implied odds reflects model uncertainty over exact cloud cover, rainfall timing, and wind patterns that modulate heat retention overnight. Seasonal outlooks point to normal-to-above-normal temperatures for the period, consistent with typical August climatology where minima rarely dip below 25°C absent unusual cold-air intrusions. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will clarify resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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