Official National Weather Service and model guidance for August 17, 2026, point to a high near 83–85°F in Central Park under partly sunny skies, light northeast flow, and limited heat advection, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 84–85°F bin at 38% implied probability. This positioning reflects typical mid-August climatology around the 83°F seasonal average, with no strengthening Bermuda High or upstream ridge to drive readings into the upper 80s or beyond. Recent ensemble runs show modest spread due to variable boundary-layer moisture and possible afternoon cloud build-up, keeping 82–87°F ranges dominant while capping odds above 88°F below 20%. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast update for any shifts in steering patterns or dew-point trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on August 17?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 17?
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 23%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
1%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 23%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
75°F or below
$165 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$30 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$47 Wol.
3%
80-81°F
$158 Wol.
7%
82-83°F
$235 Wol.
19%
84-85°F
$450 Wol.
36%
86-87°F
$136 Wol.
23%
88-89°F
$30 Wol.
10%
90-91°F
$5 Wol.
4%
92-93°F
$46 Wol.
1%
94°F or higher
$165 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and model guidance for August 17, 2026, point to a high near 83–85°F in Central Park under partly sunny skies, light northeast flow, and limited heat advection, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 84–85°F bin at 38% implied probability. This positioning reflects typical mid-August climatology around the 83°F seasonal average, with no strengthening Bermuda High or upstream ridge to drive readings into the upper 80s or beyond. Recent ensemble runs show modest spread due to variable boundary-layer moisture and possible afternoon cloud build-up, keeping 82–87°F ranges dominant while capping odds above 88°F below 20%. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast update for any shifts in steering patterns or dew-point trends.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,467Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and model guidance for August 17, 2026, point to a high near 83–85°F in Central Park under partly sunny skies, light northeast flow, and limited heat advection, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 84–85°F bin at 38% implied probability. This positioning reflects typical mid-August climatology around the 83°F seasonal average, with no strengthening Bermuda High or upstream ridge to drive readings into the upper 80s or beyond. Recent ensemble runs show modest spread due to variable boundary-layer moisture and possible afternoon cloud build-up, keeping 82–87°F ranges dominant while capping odds above 88°F below 20%. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast update for any shifts in steering patterns or dew-point trends.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,467Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and model guidance for August 17, 2026, point to a high near 83–85°F in Central Park under partly sunny skies, light northeast flow, and limited heat advection, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 84–85°F bin at 38% implied probability. This positioning reflects typical mid-August climatology around the 83°F seasonal average, with no strengthening Bermuda High or upstream ridge to drive readings into the upper 80s or beyond. Recent ensemble runs show modest spread due to variable boundary-layer moisture and possible afternoon cloud build-up, keeping 82–87°F ranges dominant while capping odds above 88°F below 20%. Traders are monitoring the next NWS forecast update for any shifts in steering patterns or dew-point trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania