Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the National Weather Service of Mexico and international models points to a typical mid-August pattern over the Valley of Mexico, where high-altitude cooling and afternoon convection from the rainy season keep daytime maxima near 24–26 °C. Persistent moisture and cloud cover have limited radiative heating in recent days, yet a brief ridge of high pressure is expected to allow slightly warmer boundary-layer air tomorrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only low probabilities attached to extremes above 27 °C or below 24 °C given the stable steering flow and absence of strong synoptic forcing. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 17?
26°C 52%
25°C 22%
27°C 18%
24°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
9%
25°C
22%
26°C
52%
27°C
18%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 52%
25°C 22%
27°C 18%
24°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Wol.
1%
22°C
$5 Wol.
1%
23°C
$15 Wol.
5%
24°C
$8 Wol.
9%
25°C
$5 Wol.
22%
26°C
$180 Wol.
52%
27°C
$54 Wol.
18%
28°C
$10 Wol.
3%
29°C
$9 Wol.
2%
30°C
$10 Wol.
1%
31°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the National Weather Service of Mexico and international models points to a typical mid-August pattern over the Valley of Mexico, where high-altitude cooling and afternoon convection from the rainy season keep daytime maxima near 24–26 °C. Persistent moisture and cloud cover have limited radiative heating in recent days, yet a brief ridge of high pressure is expected to allow slightly warmer boundary-layer air tomorrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only low probabilities attached to extremes above 27 °C or below 24 °C given the stable steering flow and absence of strong synoptic forcing. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$306Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the National Weather Service of Mexico and international models points to a typical mid-August pattern over the Valley of Mexico, where high-altitude cooling and afternoon convection from the rainy season keep daytime maxima near 24–26 °C. Persistent moisture and cloud cover have limited radiative heating in recent days, yet a brief ridge of high pressure is expected to allow slightly warmer boundary-layer air tomorrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only low probabilities attached to extremes above 27 °C or below 24 °C given the stable steering flow and absence of strong synoptic forcing. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$306Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the National Weather Service of Mexico and international models points to a typical mid-August pattern over the Valley of Mexico, where high-altitude cooling and afternoon convection from the rainy season keep daytime maxima near 24–26 °C. Persistent moisture and cloud cover have limited radiative heating in recent days, yet a brief ridge of high pressure is expected to allow slightly warmer boundary-layer air tomorrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 26 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with only low probabilities attached to extremes above 27 °C or below 24 °C given the stable steering flow and absence of strong synoptic forcing. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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