Mexico City's high elevation near 2,240 meters keeps daytime maxima moderate even in midsummer, with August climatological averages around 23–24°C. Persistent rainy-season conditions—cloud cover, humidity, and frequent afternoon convection—further limit heating by reducing solar insolation and triggering evaporative cooling. Current model guidance for August 16 points to a daily maximum near 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies with possible late-day showers, positioning 26°C as the modal outcome. Recent numerical weather runs show little spread around this range, supporting the market’s concentration of probability on 25–27°C while assigning only modest odds to outliers above 28°C or below 24°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 16?
26°C 55%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
24°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
22%
26°C
55%
27°C
21%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 55%
25°C 22%
27°C 21%
24°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
21°C or below
$20 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$20 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$519 Wol.
1%
24°C
$231 Wol.
4%
25°C
$566 Wol.
22%
26°C
$428 Wol.
55%
27°C
$248 Wol.
21%
28°C
$230 Wol.
3%
29°C
$51 Wol.
1%
30°C
$60 Wol.
1%
31°C or higher
$106 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation near 2,240 meters keeps daytime maxima moderate even in midsummer, with August climatological averages around 23–24°C. Persistent rainy-season conditions—cloud cover, humidity, and frequent afternoon convection—further limit heating by reducing solar insolation and triggering evaporative cooling. Current model guidance for August 16 points to a daily maximum near 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies with possible late-day showers, positioning 26°C as the modal outcome. Recent numerical weather runs show little spread around this range, supporting the market’s concentration of probability on 25–27°C while assigning only modest odds to outliers above 28°C or below 24°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,480Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation near 2,240 meters keeps daytime maxima moderate even in midsummer, with August climatological averages around 23–24°C. Persistent rainy-season conditions—cloud cover, humidity, and frequent afternoon convection—further limit heating by reducing solar insolation and triggering evaporative cooling. Current model guidance for August 16 points to a daily maximum near 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies with possible late-day showers, positioning 26°C as the modal outcome. Recent numerical weather runs show little spread around this range, supporting the market’s concentration of probability on 25–27°C while assigning only modest odds to outliers above 28°C or below 24°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,480Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high elevation near 2,240 meters keeps daytime maxima moderate even in midsummer, with August climatological averages around 23–24°C. Persistent rainy-season conditions—cloud cover, humidity, and frequent afternoon convection—further limit heating by reducing solar insolation and triggering evaporative cooling. Current model guidance for August 16 points to a daily maximum near 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies with possible late-day showers, positioning 26°C as the modal outcome. Recent numerical weather runs show little spread around this range, supporting the market’s concentration of probability on 25–27°C while assigning only modest odds to outliers above 28°C or below 24°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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