Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs indicate a moderating air mass with north-westerly flow will limit Paris maximum temperatures on August 17 to the upper 20s Celsius after an intense heatwave earlier in the month that peaked near 38 °C. Consensus guidance shows afternoon highs stabilizing near 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies with minimal diurnal mixing and no significant frontal passage expected before evening. These conditions explain the market’s strong clustering around 29 °C (54.5 %) and 28 °C (31.5 %), while the low probabilities attached to 30 °C or higher reflect limited potential for renewed warming before resolution. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market settlement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 17?
29°C 55%
28°C 32%
30°C 10%
27°C 5%
NOWE
$11,308 Wol.
NOWE
$11,308 Wol.
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
32%
29°C
55%
30°C
10%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 55%
28°C 32%
30°C 10%
27°C 5%
NOWE
$11,308 Wol.
NOWE
$11,308 Wol.
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
$334 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$519 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$467 Wol.
1%
27°C
$1,145 Wol.
5%
28°C
$1,678 Wol.
32%
29°C
$3,180 Wol.
55%
30°C
$877 Wol.
10%
31°C
$699 Wol.
2%
32°C
$1,045 Wol.
1%
33°C
$552 Wol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$813 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs indicate a moderating air mass with north-westerly flow will limit Paris maximum temperatures on August 17 to the upper 20s Celsius after an intense heatwave earlier in the month that peaked near 38 °C. Consensus guidance shows afternoon highs stabilizing near 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies with minimal diurnal mixing and no significant frontal passage expected before evening. These conditions explain the market’s strong clustering around 29 °C (54.5 %) and 28 °C (31.5 %), while the low probabilities attached to 30 °C or higher reflect limited potential for renewed warming before resolution. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,308Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs indicate a moderating air mass with north-westerly flow will limit Paris maximum temperatures on August 17 to the upper 20s Celsius after an intense heatwave earlier in the month that peaked near 38 °C. Consensus guidance shows afternoon highs stabilizing near 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies with minimal diurnal mixing and no significant frontal passage expected before evening. These conditions explain the market’s strong clustering around 29 °C (54.5 %) and 28 °C (31.5 %), while the low probabilities attached to 30 °C or higher reflect limited potential for renewed warming before resolution. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$11,308Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs indicate a moderating air mass with north-westerly flow will limit Paris maximum temperatures on August 17 to the upper 20s Celsius after an intense heatwave earlier in the month that peaked near 38 °C. Consensus guidance shows afternoon highs stabilizing near 28–29 °C under partly cloudy skies with minimal diurnal mixing and no significant frontal passage expected before evening. These conditions explain the market’s strong clustering around 29 °C (54.5 %) and 28 °C (31.5 %), while the low probabilities attached to 30 °C or higher reflect limited potential for renewed warming before resolution. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market settlement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania