Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 27–28°C on August 16 amid typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent monsoon flow and high humidity limit radiative cooling overnight, while scattered showers and cloud cover further suppress temperature drops by trapping heat. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory note normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August overall, consistent with ongoing hot, humid patterns and no significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky events expected. These factors position 27–28°C as the market consensus, with lower probabilities for 26°C or below reflecting the low likelihood of enhanced cooling under current atmospheric setup. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours could refine the exact minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
28°C 46%
27°C 30%
26°C 14%
29°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
14%
27°C
30%
28°C
46%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 46%
27°C 30%
26°C 14%
29°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
$196 Wol.
1%
24°C
$426 Wol.
1%
25°C
$153 Wol.
4%
26°C
$228 Wol.
14%
27°C
$440 Wol.
30%
28°C
$1,214 Wol.
46%
29°C
$112 Wol.
8%
30°C
$177 Wol.
3%
31°C
$124 Wol.
1%
32°C
$125 Wol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$125 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 27–28°C on August 16 amid typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent monsoon flow and high humidity limit radiative cooling overnight, while scattered showers and cloud cover further suppress temperature drops by trapping heat. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory note normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August overall, consistent with ongoing hot, humid patterns and no significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky events expected. These factors position 27–28°C as the market consensus, with lower probabilities for 26°C or below reflecting the low likelihood of enhanced cooling under current atmospheric setup. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours could refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,320Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 27–28°C on August 16 amid typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent monsoon flow and high humidity limit radiative cooling overnight, while scattered showers and cloud cover further suppress temperature drops by trapping heat. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory note normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August overall, consistent with ongoing hot, humid patterns and no significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky events expected. These factors position 27–28°C as the market consensus, with lower probabilities for 26°C or below reflecting the low likelihood of enhanced cooling under current atmospheric setup. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours could refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$3,320Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 27–28°C on August 16 amid typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent monsoon flow and high humidity limit radiative cooling overnight, while scattered showers and cloud cover further suppress temperature drops by trapping heat. Recent seasonal outlooks from the Observatory note normal-to-above-normal temperatures for August overall, consistent with ongoing hot, humid patterns and no significant cold-air intrusions or clear-sky events expected. These factors position 27–28°C as the market consensus, with lower probabilities for 26°C or below reflecting the low likelihood of enhanced cooling under current atmospheric setup. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours could refine the exact minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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