Recent ensemble forecasts from European models highlight variable cloud cover and potential thundery showers over Munich on August 17, anchoring trader consensus near 22–23 °C as the most probable daily maximum. These conditions, driven by an Atlantic trough, limit surface heating compared to clearer summer norms, with the exact peak hinging on the timing and coverage of convective activity that can suppress temperatures by 1–2 °C. Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst will resolve the market, and the narrow 36.5 % probabilities on each outcome reflect remaining uncertainty in short-range model guidance for this borderline case.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on August 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 17?
22°C 37%
23°C 37%
21°C 15%
20°C or below 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
20°C or below
7%
21°C
15%
22°C
37%
23°C
37%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
22°C 37%
23°C 37%
21°C 15%
20°C or below 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
20°C or below
$599 Wol.
7%
21°C
$1,189 Wol.
15%
22°C
$168 Wol.
37%
23°C
$1,033 Wol.
37%
24°C
$623 Wol.
7%
25°C
$259 Wol.
4%
26°C
$169 Wol.
1%
27°C
$19 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$147 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$37 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$37 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models highlight variable cloud cover and potential thundery showers over Munich on August 17, anchoring trader consensus near 22–23 °C as the most probable daily maximum. These conditions, driven by an Atlantic trough, limit surface heating compared to clearer summer norms, with the exact peak hinging on the timing and coverage of convective activity that can suppress temperatures by 1–2 °C. Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst will resolve the market, and the narrow 36.5 % probabilities on each outcome reflect remaining uncertainty in short-range model guidance for this borderline case.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,280Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models highlight variable cloud cover and potential thundery showers over Munich on August 17, anchoring trader consensus near 22–23 °C as the most probable daily maximum. These conditions, driven by an Atlantic trough, limit surface heating compared to clearer summer norms, with the exact peak hinging on the timing and coverage of convective activity that can suppress temperatures by 1–2 °C. Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst will resolve the market, and the narrow 36.5 % probabilities on each outcome reflect remaining uncertainty in short-range model guidance for this borderline case.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,280Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European models highlight variable cloud cover and potential thundery showers over Munich on August 17, anchoring trader consensus near 22–23 °C as the most probable daily maximum. These conditions, driven by an Atlantic trough, limit surface heating compared to clearer summer norms, with the exact peak hinging on the timing and coverage of convective activity that can suppress temperatures by 1–2 °C. Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst will resolve the market, and the narrow 36.5 % probabilities on each outcome reflect remaining uncertainty in short-range model guidance for this borderline case.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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