Latest Met Office guidance projecting a 28°C high for London on August 17, combined with ensemble model spreads from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, underpins the tight market clustering around 26–27°C. Persistent high pressure favoring sunny intervals is offset by variable Atlantic moisture and light westerly winds that could trim peak readings by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, but the current setup aligns with recent above-normal anomalies. Traders weigh resolution against official Met Office observations at sites like Heathrow or Kew, where minor forecast revisions ahead of the 17th could shift implied probabilities before settlement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 17?
Highest temperature in London on August 17?
26°C 35%
27°C 33%
25°C 17%
28°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
17%
26°C
35%
27°C
33%
28°C
12%
29°C
4%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 35%
27°C 33%
25°C 17%
28°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
20°C or below
$38 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$38 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$43 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$545 Wol.
2%
24°C
$241 Wol.
4%
25°C
$1,031 Wol.
17%
26°C
$659 Wol.
35%
27°C
$1,274 Wol.
33%
28°C
$387 Wol.
12%
29°C
$139 Wol.
4%
30°C or higher
$58 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance projecting a 28°C high for London on August 17, combined with ensemble model spreads from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, underpins the tight market clustering around 26–27°C. Persistent high pressure favoring sunny intervals is offset by variable Atlantic moisture and light westerly winds that could trim peak readings by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, but the current setup aligns with recent above-normal anomalies. Traders weigh resolution against official Met Office observations at sites like Heathrow or Kew, where minor forecast revisions ahead of the 17th could shift implied probabilities before settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,453Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance projecting a 28°C high for London on August 17, combined with ensemble model spreads from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, underpins the tight market clustering around 26–27°C. Persistent high pressure favoring sunny intervals is offset by variable Atlantic moisture and light westerly winds that could trim peak readings by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, but the current setup aligns with recent above-normal anomalies. Traders weigh resolution against official Met Office observations at sites like Heathrow or Kew, where minor forecast revisions ahead of the 17th could shift implied probabilities before settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,453Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance projecting a 28°C high for London on August 17, combined with ensemble model spreads from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, underpins the tight market clustering around 26–27°C. Persistent high pressure favoring sunny intervals is offset by variable Atlantic moisture and light westerly winds that could trim peak readings by 1–2°C depending on cloud timing. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, but the current setup aligns with recent above-normal anomalies. Traders weigh resolution against official Met Office observations at sites like Heathrow or Kew, where minor forecast revisions ahead of the 17th could shift implied probabilities before settlement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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