Recent forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models, including outputs referenced by the UK Met Office and BBC, indicate daily maximum temperatures in Istanbul on August 19 likely peaking between 27–30 °C under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Sea breezes from the Bosphorus and northerly flows often moderate extremes, while clear skies and light winds support the higher end of that range. Model consensus clusters around 27–28 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities and climatological August averages of 27–29 °C. No strong heatwave signals or major synoptic shifts appear in the latest runs, leaving modest uncertainty from timing of any cloud build-up or wind shifts that could nudge the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term driver.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 19?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 19?
27°C 40%
28°C 33%
26°C 21%
29°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
21%
27°C
40%
28°C
33%
29°C
17%
30°C
12%
31°C
4%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
28°C 33%
26°C 21%
29°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
23°C or below
$5 Wol.
2%
24°C
$4 Wol.
3%
25°C
$0 Wol.
4%
26°C
$0 Wol.
21%
27°C
$64 Wol.
40%
28°C
$0 Wol.
33%
29°C
$41 Wol.
17%
30°C
$0 Wol.
12%
31°C
$5 Wol.
4%
32°C
$5 Wol.
6%
33°C or higher
$5 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models, including outputs referenced by the UK Met Office and BBC, indicate daily maximum temperatures in Istanbul on August 19 likely peaking between 27–30 °C under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Sea breezes from the Bosphorus and northerly flows often moderate extremes, while clear skies and light winds support the higher end of that range. Model consensus clusters around 27–28 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities and climatological August averages of 27–29 °C. No strong heatwave signals or major synoptic shifts appear in the latest runs, leaving modest uncertainty from timing of any cloud build-up or wind shifts that could nudge the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$129Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models, including outputs referenced by the UK Met Office and BBC, indicate daily maximum temperatures in Istanbul on August 19 likely peaking between 27–30 °C under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Sea breezes from the Bosphorus and northerly flows often moderate extremes, while clear skies and light winds support the higher end of that range. Model consensus clusters around 27–28 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities and climatological August averages of 27–29 °C. No strong heatwave signals or major synoptic shifts appear in the latest runs, leaving modest uncertainty from timing of any cloud build-up or wind shifts that could nudge the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$129Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models, including outputs referenced by the UK Met Office and BBC, indicate daily maximum temperatures in Istanbul on August 19 likely peaking between 27–30 °C under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Sea breezes from the Bosphorus and northerly flows often moderate extremes, while clear skies and light winds support the higher end of that range. Model consensus clusters around 27–28 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities and climatological August averages of 27–29 °C. No strong heatwave signals or major synoptic shifts appear in the latest runs, leaving modest uncertainty from timing of any cloud build-up or wind shifts that could nudge the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance over the next 48 hours will be the key near-term driver.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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