Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 17 call for a high near 31°C under cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, positioning this as the primary driver behind market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C. Summer climatology supports highs typically reaching 30–32°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects, yet cloud cover and precipitation can cap peaks by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling. Ensemble model guidance shows modest spread around these values, with above-normal seasonal temperatures providing baseline support. Updated JMA briefings and refined model runs over the next 24 hours represent key data releases that could shift consensus toward or away from the current 30°C leading outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 17?
30°C 40%
29°C 28%
31°C 12%
28°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
28%
30°C
40%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 40%
29°C 28%
31°C 12%
28°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 17, 2026
24°C or below
$738 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$262 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$69 Wol.
1%
27°C
$342 Wol.
4%
28°C
$229 Wol.
10%
29°C
$204 Wol.
28%
30°C
$884 Wol.
40%
31°C
$187 Wol.
12%
32°C
$131 Wol.
4%
33°C
$127 Wol.
1%
34°C or higher
$114 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 17 call for a high near 31°C under cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, positioning this as the primary driver behind market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C. Summer climatology supports highs typically reaching 30–32°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects, yet cloud cover and precipitation can cap peaks by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling. Ensemble model guidance shows modest spread around these values, with above-normal seasonal temperatures providing baseline support. Updated JMA briefings and refined model runs over the next 24 hours represent key data releases that could shift consensus toward or away from the current 30°C leading outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,287Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 17 call for a high near 31°C under cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, positioning this as the primary driver behind market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C. Summer climatology supports highs typically reaching 30–32°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects, yet cloud cover and precipitation can cap peaks by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling. Ensemble model guidance shows modest spread around these values, with above-normal seasonal temperatures providing baseline support. Updated JMA briefings and refined model runs over the next 24 hours represent key data releases that could shift consensus toward or away from the current 30°C leading outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,287Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 17 call for a high near 31°C under cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, positioning this as the primary driver behind market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C. Summer climatology supports highs typically reaching 30–32°C amid high humidity and urban heat effects, yet cloud cover and precipitation can cap peaks by limiting solar heating and enhancing evaporative cooling. Ensemble model guidance shows modest spread around these values, with above-normal seasonal temperatures providing baseline support. Updated JMA briefings and refined model runs over the next 24 hours represent key data releases that could shift consensus toward or away from the current 30°C leading outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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