Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles indicate a maximum of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on August 22, driven by increased cloud cover, possible showers, and a cooler northwesterly airflow that limits daytime warming. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 19°C outcome at 45% implied probability, as late-August climatology favors highs near 21°C but recent model runs show a downward revision amid unsettled conditions. Key resolution factors include official KNMI observations at the Amsterdam station, with low odds on 20°C+ reflecting limited potential for clearing skies or warmer advection before the date. Updated model guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 22?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 22?
19°C 45%
18°C 23%
20°C 17%
17°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
23%
19°C
45%
20°C
17%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 45%
18°C 23%
20°C 17%
17°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
16°C
$2 Wol.
3%
17°C
$0 Wol.
6%
18°C
$0 Wol.
23%
19°C
$26 Wol.
45%
20°C
$71 Wol.
17%
21°C
$3 Wol.
4%
22°C
$10 Wol.
2%
23°C
$5 Wol.
1%
24°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$288 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles indicate a maximum of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on August 22, driven by increased cloud cover, possible showers, and a cooler northwesterly airflow that limits daytime warming. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 19°C outcome at 45% implied probability, as late-August climatology favors highs near 21°C but recent model runs show a downward revision amid unsettled conditions. Key resolution factors include official KNMI observations at the Amsterdam station, with low odds on 20°C+ reflecting limited potential for clearing skies or warmer advection before the date. Updated model guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$405Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles indicate a maximum of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on August 22, driven by increased cloud cover, possible showers, and a cooler northwesterly airflow that limits daytime warming. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 19°C outcome at 45% implied probability, as late-August climatology favors highs near 21°C but recent model runs show a downward revision amid unsettled conditions. Key resolution factors include official KNMI observations at the Amsterdam station, with low odds on 20°C+ reflecting limited potential for clearing skies or warmer advection before the date. Updated model guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$405Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles indicate a maximum of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on August 22, driven by increased cloud cover, possible showers, and a cooler northwesterly airflow that limits daytime warming. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 19°C outcome at 45% implied probability, as late-August climatology favors highs near 21°C but recent model runs show a downward revision amid unsettled conditions. Key resolution factors include official KNMI observations at the Amsterdam station, with low odds on 20°C+ reflecting limited potential for clearing skies or warmer advection before the date. Updated model guidance ahead of the weekend will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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