Forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC point to overnight lows near 23–25°C in Beijing on August 21, driven by typical late-summer cooling trends and expected thundery showers that enhance radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Historical August averages show minimums declining from ~21°C early in the month toward 19°C by month-end, with humidity near 70% moderating extremes. Current model consensus favors a 23–24°C low as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market's 59% implied probability for 24°C, while the elevated 37.5% on 18°C or below reflects uncertainty around heavier rainfall or localized cooling pockets. Higher temperatures above 25°C carry negligible odds given the steering pattern and seasonal baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Beijing on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 21?
18°C or below 35%
22°C 34%
23°C 34%
19°C 23%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
18°C or below
35%
19°C
23%
20°C
23%
21°C
23%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
59%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
18°C or below 35%
22°C 34%
23°C 34%
19°C 23%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
18°C or below
$35 Wol.
35%
19°C
$27 Wol.
23%
20°C
$87 Wol.
23%
21°C
$87 Wol.
23%
22°C
$0 Wol.
34%
23°C
$0 Wol.
34%
24°C
$20 Wol.
59%
25°C
$150 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$25 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$95 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$95 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC point to overnight lows near 23–25°C in Beijing on August 21, driven by typical late-summer cooling trends and expected thundery showers that enhance radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Historical August averages show minimums declining from ~21°C early in the month toward 19°C by month-end, with humidity near 70% moderating extremes. Current model consensus favors a 23–24°C low as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market's 59% implied probability for 24°C, while the elevated 37.5% on 18°C or below reflects uncertainty around heavier rainfall or localized cooling pockets. Higher temperatures above 25°C carry negligible odds given the steering pattern and seasonal baseline.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$621Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC point to overnight lows near 23–25°C in Beijing on August 21, driven by typical late-summer cooling trends and expected thundery showers that enhance radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Historical August averages show minimums declining from ~21°C early in the month toward 19°C by month-end, with humidity near 70% moderating extremes. Current model consensus favors a 23–24°C low as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market's 59% implied probability for 24°C, while the elevated 37.5% on 18°C or below reflects uncertainty around heavier rainfall or localized cooling pockets. Higher temperatures above 25°C carry negligible odds given the steering pattern and seasonal baseline.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$621Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC point to overnight lows near 23–25°C in Beijing on August 21, driven by typical late-summer cooling trends and expected thundery showers that enhance radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Historical August averages show minimums declining from ~21°C early in the month toward 19°C by month-end, with humidity near 70% moderating extremes. Current model consensus favors a 23–24°C low as the most probable outcome, aligning with the market's 59% implied probability for 24°C, while the elevated 37.5% on 18°C or below reflects uncertainty around heavier rainfall or localized cooling pockets. Higher temperatures above 25°C carry negligible odds given the steering pattern and seasonal baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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