Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime maximum of 30–32°C for Shanghai on August 21, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure combined with late-summer monsoon moisture that supports scattered thundershowers and increased cloud cover. These conditions limit peak insolation and boundary-layer heating, producing the market’s concentration on 31°C and 30°C outcomes while keeping higher readings like 33°C or above at low implied probabilities. Historical August climatology for the region shows similar patterns of humid, convective weather capping extremes, with model consensus pointing to modest day-to-day variability ahead of any updated runs expected within the next 24–48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 21?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 21?
31°C 41%
30°C 29%
32°C 16%
29°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
12%
30°C
29%
31°C
41%
32°C
16%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 41%
30°C 29%
32°C 16%
29°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
24°C or below
$336 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$836 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$485 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$174 Wol.
1%
28°C
$37 Wol.
4%
29°C
$419 Wol.
12%
30°C
$273 Wol.
29%
31°C
$150 Wol.
41%
32°C
$483 Wol.
16%
33°C
$12 Wol.
5%
34°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime maximum of 30–32°C for Shanghai on August 21, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure combined with late-summer monsoon moisture that supports scattered thundershowers and increased cloud cover. These conditions limit peak insolation and boundary-layer heating, producing the market’s concentration on 31°C and 30°C outcomes while keeping higher readings like 33°C or above at low implied probabilities. Historical August climatology for the region shows similar patterns of humid, convective weather capping extremes, with model consensus pointing to modest day-to-day variability ahead of any updated runs expected within the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,204Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime maximum of 30–32°C for Shanghai on August 21, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure combined with late-summer monsoon moisture that supports scattered thundershowers and increased cloud cover. These conditions limit peak insolation and boundary-layer heating, producing the market’s concentration on 31°C and 30°C outcomes while keeping higher readings like 33°C or above at low implied probabilities. Historical August climatology for the region shows similar patterns of humid, convective weather capping extremes, with model consensus pointing to modest day-to-day variability ahead of any updated runs expected within the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,204Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daytime maximum of 30–32°C for Shanghai on August 21, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure combined with late-summer monsoon moisture that supports scattered thundershowers and increased cloud cover. These conditions limit peak insolation and boundary-layer heating, producing the market’s concentration on 31°C and 30°C outcomes while keeping higher readings like 33°C or above at low implied probabilities. Historical August climatology for the region shows similar patterns of humid, convective weather capping extremes, with model consensus pointing to modest day-to-day variability ahead of any updated runs expected within the next 24–48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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