Short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies place Moscow’s August 21 maximum near 22–23 °C, aligning with late-summer climatology and the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Persistent moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and light precipitation chances are expected to limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling or warming excursions. Recent model runs show tight consensus around this range, with only minor spread in guidance for boundary-layer moisture and insolation. These conditions mirror the typical mid-August baseline of 20–23 °C highs, so trader sentiment reflects the low likelihood of extremes absent an unexpected frontal shift before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
23°C 54%
22°C 31%
24°C 18%
21°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
13%
22°C
31%
23°C
54%
24°C
18%
25°C
13%
26°C or higher
11%
23°C 54%
22°C 31%
24°C 18%
21°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
$588 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$393 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$127 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$10 Wol.
2%
20°C
$15 Wol.
10%
21°C
$3 Wol.
13%
22°C
$65 Wol.
31%
23°C
$260 Wol.
54%
24°C
$0 Wol.
18%
25°C
$0 Wol.
13%
26°C or higher
$32 Wol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies place Moscow’s August 21 maximum near 22–23 °C, aligning with late-summer climatology and the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Persistent moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and light precipitation chances are expected to limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling or warming excursions. Recent model runs show tight consensus around this range, with only minor spread in guidance for boundary-layer moisture and insolation. These conditions mirror the typical mid-August baseline of 20–23 °C highs, so trader sentiment reflects the low likelihood of extremes absent an unexpected frontal shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,493Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies place Moscow’s August 21 maximum near 22–23 °C, aligning with late-summer climatology and the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Persistent moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and light precipitation chances are expected to limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling or warming excursions. Recent model runs show tight consensus around this range, with only minor spread in guidance for boundary-layer moisture and insolation. These conditions mirror the typical mid-August baseline of 20–23 °C highs, so trader sentiment reflects the low likelihood of extremes absent an unexpected frontal shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,493Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecasts from meteorological agencies place Moscow’s August 21 maximum near 22–23 °C, aligning with late-summer climatology and the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. Persistent moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and light precipitation chances are expected to limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling or warming excursions. Recent model runs show tight consensus around this range, with only minor spread in guidance for boundary-layer moisture and insolation. These conditions mirror the typical mid-August baseline of 20–23 °C highs, so trader sentiment reflects the low likelihood of extremes absent an unexpected frontal shift before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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