Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a high near 70–72°F in San Francisco on August 18, driven by a building Pacific high that should limit the marine layer and allow partial afternoon clearing after morning coastal stratus. Onshore flow and the cold California Current continue to moderate temperatures, keeping values close to the August normal of 67–70°F, while any delay in fog burn-off or stronger sea breeze would cap readings in the upper 60s. Trader positioning around the 70–73°F bins aligns with this narrow forecast spread and the historical rarity of coastal extremes exceeding 75°F in mid-August without a strong offshore wind event.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 18?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 18?
70-71°F 31%
72-73°F 25%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
67°F or below
11%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
31%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 31%
72-73°F 25%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
67°F or below
$5 Wol.
11%
68-69°F
$10 Wol.
14%
70-71°F
$20 Wol.
31%
72-73°F
$39 Wol.
25%
74-75°F
$11 Wol.
16%
76-77°F
$35 Wol.
2%
78-79°F
$15 Wol.
5%
80-81°F
$15 Wol.
4%
82-83°F
$105 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$218 Wol.
<1%
86°F or higher
$5 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a high near 70–72°F in San Francisco on August 18, driven by a building Pacific high that should limit the marine layer and allow partial afternoon clearing after morning coastal stratus. Onshore flow and the cold California Current continue to moderate temperatures, keeping values close to the August normal of 67–70°F, while any delay in fog burn-off or stronger sea breeze would cap readings in the upper 60s. Trader positioning around the 70–73°F bins aligns with this narrow forecast spread and the historical rarity of coastal extremes exceeding 75°F in mid-August without a strong offshore wind event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$478Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a high near 70–72°F in San Francisco on August 18, driven by a building Pacific high that should limit the marine layer and allow partial afternoon clearing after morning coastal stratus. Onshore flow and the cold California Current continue to moderate temperatures, keeping values close to the August normal of 67–70°F, while any delay in fog burn-off or stronger sea breeze would cap readings in the upper 60s. Trader positioning around the 70–73°F bins aligns with this narrow forecast spread and the historical rarity of coastal extremes exceeding 75°F in mid-August without a strong offshore wind event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$478Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a high near 70–72°F in San Francisco on August 18, driven by a building Pacific high that should limit the marine layer and allow partial afternoon clearing after morning coastal stratus. Onshore flow and the cold California Current continue to moderate temperatures, keeping values close to the August normal of 67–70°F, while any delay in fog burn-off or stronger sea breeze would cap readings in the upper 60s. Trader positioning around the 70–73°F bins aligns with this narrow forecast spread and the historical rarity of coastal extremes exceeding 75°F in mid-August without a strong offshore wind event.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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