A strong ridge of high pressure over the Southern Plains is the dominant driver positioning 96–99°F as the leading market outcomes for Houston’s August 18 high, with official National Weather Service guidance calling for sunny conditions and a high near 98°F. Persistent subsidence suppresses cloud cover and convective cooling, while light southeast winds limit marine influence, allowing strong daytime insolation to push temperatures toward or slightly above the long-term August normal of 95–96°F. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, and the absence of significant frontal passage or tropical moisture through the period reinforces trader consensus around the upper 90s. Updated NWS and NOAA short-range guidance expected overnight remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if any cooling trend emerges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on August 18?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 18?
96-97°F 50%
98-99°F 32%
92-93°F 10%
94-95°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
50%
98-99°F
32%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
1%
96-97°F 50%
98-99°F 32%
92-93°F 10%
94-95°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
89°F or below
$20 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$10 Wol.
4%
92-93°F
$39 Wol.
10%
94-95°F
$10 Wol.
9%
96-97°F
$152 Wol.
50%
98-99°F
$132 Wol.
32%
100-101°F
$156 Wol.
6%
102-103°F
$10 Wol.
5%
104-105°F
$15 Wol.
1%
106-107°F
$10 Wol.
1%
108°F or higher
$15 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong ridge of high pressure over the Southern Plains is the dominant driver positioning 96–99°F as the leading market outcomes for Houston’s August 18 high, with official National Weather Service guidance calling for sunny conditions and a high near 98°F. Persistent subsidence suppresses cloud cover and convective cooling, while light southeast winds limit marine influence, allowing strong daytime insolation to push temperatures toward or slightly above the long-term August normal of 95–96°F. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, and the absence of significant frontal passage or tropical moisture through the period reinforces trader consensus around the upper 90s. Updated NWS and NOAA short-range guidance expected overnight remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if any cooling trend emerges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$569Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong ridge of high pressure over the Southern Plains is the dominant driver positioning 96–99°F as the leading market outcomes for Houston’s August 18 high, with official National Weather Service guidance calling for sunny conditions and a high near 98°F. Persistent subsidence suppresses cloud cover and convective cooling, while light southeast winds limit marine influence, allowing strong daytime insolation to push temperatures toward or slightly above the long-term August normal of 95–96°F. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, and the absence of significant frontal passage or tropical moisture through the period reinforces trader consensus around the upper 90s. Updated NWS and NOAA short-range guidance expected overnight remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if any cooling trend emerges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$569Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...A strong ridge of high pressure over the Southern Plains is the dominant driver positioning 96–99°F as the leading market outcomes for Houston’s August 18 high, with official National Weather Service guidance calling for sunny conditions and a high near 98°F. Persistent subsidence suppresses cloud cover and convective cooling, while light southeast winds limit marine influence, allowing strong daytime insolation to push temperatures toward or slightly above the long-term August normal of 95–96°F. Recent model runs show minimal disagreement, and the absence of significant frontal passage or tropical moisture through the period reinforces trader consensus around the upper 90s. Updated NWS and NOAA short-range guidance expected overnight remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift probabilities if any cooling trend emerges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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