Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 102°F for Austin on August 18, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and typical late-summer subtropical high pressure that favors clear skies and strong insolation. With climatological August averages near 99°F and recent days already reaching 102°F, the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins together capture over 80% of market-implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and limited model spread. Minor steering or moisture shifts could alter peak readings, though no major pattern change appears imminent before the 18th observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 18?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 18?
100-101°F 51%
102-103°F 32%
98-99°F 10%
104-105°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
10%
100-101°F
51%
102-103°F
32%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 51%
102-103°F 32%
98-99°F 10%
104-105°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
93°F or below
$50 Wol.
<1%
94-95°F
$19 Wol.
1%
96-97°F
$217 Wol.
4%
98-99°F
$148 Wol.
10%
100-101°F
$188 Wol.
51%
102-103°F
$102 Wol.
32%
104-105°F
$15 Wol.
6%
106-107°F
$77 Wol.
2%
108-109°F
$175 Wol.
1%
110-111°F
$175 Wol.
<1%
112°F or higher
$185 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 102°F for Austin on August 18, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and typical late-summer subtropical high pressure that favors clear skies and strong insolation. With climatological August averages near 99°F and recent days already reaching 102°F, the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins together capture over 80% of market-implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and limited model spread. Minor steering or moisture shifts could alter peak readings, though no major pattern change appears imminent before the 18th observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,351Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 102°F for Austin on August 18, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and typical late-summer subtropical high pressure that favors clear skies and strong insolation. With climatological August averages near 99°F and recent days already reaching 102°F, the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins together capture over 80% of market-implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and limited model spread. Minor steering or moisture shifts could alter peak readings, though no major pattern change appears imminent before the 18th observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,351Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high near 102°F for Austin on August 18, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge and typical late-summer subtropical high pressure that favors clear skies and strong insolation. With climatological August averages near 99°F and recent days already reaching 102°F, the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins together capture over 80% of market-implied probability, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble consensus and limited model spread. Minor steering or moisture shifts could alter peak readings, though no major pattern change appears imminent before the 18th observation window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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