Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate sunny intervals with a maximum of 23–24°C for London on August 19, supporting the near-even split between those two outcomes at 30% and 36.5%. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak Atlantic front determine whether peak insolation pushes readings to 24°C or holds them at 23°C. Warmer 25°C+ scenarios remain less likely given current steering patterns and modest onshore flow, while cooler outcomes below 22°C would require greater cloud persistence or earlier rain not favored in latest guidance. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours should narrow the remaining spread.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 19?
Highest temperature in London on August 19?
24°C 38%
23°C 30%
25°C 17%
22°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
30%
24°C
38%
25°C
17%
26°C
7%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 38%
23°C 30%
25°C 17%
22°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
20°C or below
$98 Wol.
1%
21°C
$31 Wol.
4%
22°C
$270 Wol.
9%
23°C
$270 Wol.
30%
24°C
$348 Wol.
38%
25°C
$466 Wol.
17%
26°C
$115 Wol.
7%
27°C
$45 Wol.
3%
28°C
$197 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$286 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$276 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate sunny intervals with a maximum of 23–24°C for London on August 19, supporting the near-even split between those two outcomes at 30% and 36.5%. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak Atlantic front determine whether peak insolation pushes readings to 24°C or holds them at 23°C. Warmer 25°C+ scenarios remain less likely given current steering patterns and modest onshore flow, while cooler outcomes below 22°C would require greater cloud persistence or earlier rain not favored in latest guidance. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours should narrow the remaining spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,402Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate sunny intervals with a maximum of 23–24°C for London on August 19, supporting the near-even split between those two outcomes at 30% and 36.5%. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak Atlantic front determine whether peak insolation pushes readings to 24°C or holds them at 23°C. Warmer 25°C+ scenarios remain less likely given current steering patterns and modest onshore flow, while cooler outcomes below 22°C would require greater cloud persistence or earlier rain not favored in latest guidance. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours should narrow the remaining spread.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,402Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model runs indicate sunny intervals with a maximum of 23–24°C for London on August 19, supporting the near-even split between those two outcomes at 30% and 36.5%. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any weak Atlantic front determine whether peak insolation pushes readings to 24°C or holds them at 23°C. Warmer 25°C+ scenarios remain less likely given current steering patterns and modest onshore flow, while cooler outcomes below 22°C would require greater cloud persistence or earlier rain not favored in latest guidance. Updated high-resolution runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours should narrow the remaining spread.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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