Recent model consensus from global ensembles points to Moscow's overnight low on August 22 hovering near 10–12°C under variable late-summer conditions, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around 9°C and 11°C reflecting the narrow ensemble spread. Key scientific drivers include radiational cooling rates influenced by cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind patterns that determine how much heat escapes overnight, alongside steering from a weak high-pressure ridge. Historical August minima average near 12–13°C, so current guidance sits slightly below climatology, and resolution hinges on official Russian meteorological service observations that capture the precise dawn minimum. Upcoming GFS and ECMWF runs tonight will likely tighten or widen this uncertainty band before the market settles.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Moscow on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 22?
11°C 43%
12°C 40%
8°C 37%
13°C 37%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
6°C or below
29%
7°C
26%
8°C
37%
9°C
36%
10°C
29%
11°C
43%
12°C
40%
13°C
37%
14°C
35%
15°C
5%
16°C or higher
36%
11°C 43%
12°C 40%
8°C 37%
13°C 37%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
6°C or below
$58 Wol.
29%
7°C
$15 Wol.
26%
8°C
$10 Wol.
37%
9°C
$10 Wol.
36%
10°C
$11 Wol.
29%
11°C
$11 Wol.
43%
12°C
$20 Wol.
40%
13°C
$10 Wol.
37%
14°C
$10 Wol.
35%
15°C
$10 Wol.
5%
16°C or higher
$15 Wol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global ensembles points to Moscow's overnight low on August 22 hovering near 10–12°C under variable late-summer conditions, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around 9°C and 11°C reflecting the narrow ensemble spread. Key scientific drivers include radiational cooling rates influenced by cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind patterns that determine how much heat escapes overnight, alongside steering from a weak high-pressure ridge. Historical August minima average near 12–13°C, so current guidance sits slightly below climatology, and resolution hinges on official Russian meteorological service observations that capture the precise dawn minimum. Upcoming GFS and ECMWF runs tonight will likely tighten or widen this uncertainty band before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Wolumen
$180Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from global ensembles points to Moscow's overnight low on August 22 hovering near 10–12°C under variable late-summer conditions, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around 9°C and 11°C reflecting the narrow ensemble spread. Key scientific drivers include radiational cooling rates influenced by cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind patterns that determine how much heat escapes overnight, alongside steering from a weak high-pressure ridge. Historical August minima average near 12–13°C, so current guidance sits slightly below climatology, and resolution hinges on official Russian meteorological service observations that capture the precise dawn minimum. Upcoming GFS and ECMWF runs tonight will likely tighten or widen this uncertainty band before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$180Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from global ensembles points to Moscow's overnight low on August 22 hovering near 10–12°C under variable late-summer conditions, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around 9°C and 11°C reflecting the narrow ensemble spread. Key scientific drivers include radiational cooling rates influenced by cloud cover, boundary-layer humidity, and light wind patterns that determine how much heat escapes overnight, alongside steering from a weak high-pressure ridge. Historical August minima average near 12–13°C, so current guidance sits slightly below climatology, and resolution hinges on official Russian meteorological service observations that capture the precise dawn minimum. Upcoming GFS and ECMWF runs tonight will likely tighten or widen this uncertainty band before the market settles.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania