Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and station observations for August 21 indicate a daytime range of 26–30°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with overnight and early-morning lows settling near 25–26°C across urban and airport sites. Multiple automatic weather stations recorded minima of 25.1–25.7°C by mid-afternoon, aligning with model consensus on limited nocturnal cooling amid high humidity and southwesterly flow. This data underpins the market’s overwhelming 99% implied probability for a 25°C low, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified measurements over uncertain late-day shifts. An unexpected cold surge or revised official minimum below 25°C remains possible only if additional stations report lower values before midnight, though current conditions make such an outcome improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
25°C 99%
24°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$45,281 Wol.
$45,281 Wol.
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99%
24°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$45,281 Wol.
$45,281 Wol.
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$1,406 Wol.
1%
23°C
$3,615 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$5,453 Wol.
1%
25°C
$9,356 Wol.
99%
26°C
$6,040 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$5,900 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$5,615 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$2,853 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$2,170 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$1,337 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,536 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and station observations for August 21 indicate a daytime range of 26–30°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with overnight and early-morning lows settling near 25–26°C across urban and airport sites. Multiple automatic weather stations recorded minima of 25.1–25.7°C by mid-afternoon, aligning with model consensus on limited nocturnal cooling amid high humidity and southwesterly flow. This data underpins the market’s overwhelming 99% implied probability for a 25°C low, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified measurements over uncertain late-day shifts. An unexpected cold surge or revised official minimum below 25°C remains possible only if additional stations report lower values before midnight, though current conditions make such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$45,281Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and station observations for August 21 indicate a daytime range of 26–30°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with overnight and early-morning lows settling near 25–26°C across urban and airport sites. Multiple automatic weather stations recorded minima of 25.1–25.7°C by mid-afternoon, aligning with model consensus on limited nocturnal cooling amid high humidity and southwesterly flow. This data underpins the market’s overwhelming 99% implied probability for a 25°C low, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified measurements over uncertain late-day shifts. An unexpected cold surge or revised official minimum below 25°C remains possible only if additional stations report lower values before midnight, though current conditions make such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$45,281Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and station observations for August 21 indicate a daytime range of 26–30°C under a broad low-pressure trough driving scattered showers and thunderstorms, with overnight and early-morning lows settling near 25–26°C across urban and airport sites. Multiple automatic weather stations recorded minima of 25.1–25.7°C by mid-afternoon, aligning with model consensus on limited nocturnal cooling amid high humidity and southwesterly flow. This data underpins the market’s overwhelming 99% implied probability for a 25°C low, reflecting traders’ assessment of verified measurements over uncertain late-day shifts. An unexpected cold surge or revised official minimum below 25°C remains possible only if additional stations report lower values before midnight, though current conditions make such an outcome improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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