Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model consensus point to a minimum of 26–27°C on August 22 amid a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea that sustains southwesterly flow, high humidity near 80–95%, and scattered showers with thunderstorms. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling while daytime convection and cloud cover cap the diurnal range, keeping the overnight low tightly clustered near the climatological August average. Trader consensus favoring 27°C over 26°C reflects expectations of modest stabilization after morning rain, whereas slightly cooler 25–26°C outcomes hinge on heavier localized precipitation or clearer breaks enhancing evaporative cooling; warmer 28°C readings would require reduced moisture and stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and HKO briefings through the evening of August 21 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
27°C 39%
26°C 32%
28°C 17%
25°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
16%
26°C
32%
27°C
39%
28°C
17%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 39%
26°C 32%
28°C 17%
25°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
$760 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$161 Wol.
1%
24°C
$474 Wol.
2%
25°C
$367 Wol.
16%
26°C
$530 Wol.
32%
27°C
$360 Wol.
39%
28°C
$671 Wol.
17%
29°C
$1,208 Wol.
3%
30°C
$378 Wol.
1%
31°C
$501 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$516 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model consensus point to a minimum of 26–27°C on August 22 amid a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea that sustains southwesterly flow, high humidity near 80–95%, and scattered showers with thunderstorms. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling while daytime convection and cloud cover cap the diurnal range, keeping the overnight low tightly clustered near the climatological August average. Trader consensus favoring 27°C over 26°C reflects expectations of modest stabilization after morning rain, whereas slightly cooler 25–26°C outcomes hinge on heavier localized precipitation or clearer breaks enhancing evaporative cooling; warmer 28°C readings would require reduced moisture and stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and HKO briefings through the evening of August 21 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,923Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model consensus point to a minimum of 26–27°C on August 22 amid a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea that sustains southwesterly flow, high humidity near 80–95%, and scattered showers with thunderstorms. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling while daytime convection and cloud cover cap the diurnal range, keeping the overnight low tightly clustered near the climatological August average. Trader consensus favoring 27°C over 26°C reflects expectations of modest stabilization after morning rain, whereas slightly cooler 25–26°C outcomes hinge on heavier localized precipitation or clearer breaks enhancing evaporative cooling; warmer 28°C readings would require reduced moisture and stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and HKO briefings through the evening of August 21 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$5,923Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and model consensus point to a minimum of 26–27°C on August 22 amid a broad low-pressure trough over the South China Sea that sustains southwesterly flow, high humidity near 80–95%, and scattered showers with thunderstorms. These conditions limit nighttime radiative cooling while daytime convection and cloud cover cap the diurnal range, keeping the overnight low tightly clustered near the climatological August average. Trader consensus favoring 27°C over 26°C reflects expectations of modest stabilization after morning rain, whereas slightly cooler 25–26°C outcomes hinge on heavier localized precipitation or clearer breaks enhancing evaporative cooling; warmer 28°C readings would require reduced moisture and stronger subsidence. Updated model runs and HKO briefings through the evening of August 21 will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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