Recent PAGASA monitoring of the weakened remnants of Typhoon Neneng and ongoing southwest monsoon flow indicates persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Metro Manila through August 23, limiting peak solar insolation and holding maximum temperatures near 30–32°C. High humidity and frequent convective activity typical of the August rainy season further suppress daytime highs relative to drier periods, aligning with climatological norms around 30–31°C. Ensemble model spreads and variable shower timing introduce uncertainty across the 29–32°C range, reflected in closely matched trader-implied odds, with resolution hinging on official PAGASA observations of the daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on August 23?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 23?
31°C 40%
30°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
16%
30°C
32%
31°C
21%
32°C
15%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 40%
30°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$176 Wol.
1%
26°C
$0 Wol.
1%
27°C
$0 Wol.
1%
28°C
$20 Wol.
7%
29°C
$0 Wol.
16%
30°C
$0 Wol.
32%
31°C
$6 Wol.
21%
32°C
$11 Wol.
15%
33°C
$0 Wol.
10%
34°C
$20 Wol.
1%
35°C or higher
$20 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA monitoring of the weakened remnants of Typhoon Neneng and ongoing southwest monsoon flow indicates persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Metro Manila through August 23, limiting peak solar insolation and holding maximum temperatures near 30–32°C. High humidity and frequent convective activity typical of the August rainy season further suppress daytime highs relative to drier periods, aligning with climatological norms around 30–31°C. Ensemble model spreads and variable shower timing introduce uncertainty across the 29–32°C range, reflected in closely matched trader-implied odds, with resolution hinging on official PAGASA observations of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Wolumen
$254Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA monitoring of the weakened remnants of Typhoon Neneng and ongoing southwest monsoon flow indicates persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Metro Manila through August 23, limiting peak solar insolation and holding maximum temperatures near 30–32°C. High humidity and frequent convective activity typical of the August rainy season further suppress daytime highs relative to drier periods, aligning with climatological norms around 30–31°C. Ensemble model spreads and variable shower timing introduce uncertainty across the 29–32°C range, reflected in closely matched trader-implied odds, with resolution hinging on official PAGASA observations of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$254Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA monitoring of the weakened remnants of Typhoon Neneng and ongoing southwest monsoon flow indicates persistent cloud cover and scattered showers over Metro Manila through August 23, limiting peak solar insolation and holding maximum temperatures near 30–32°C. High humidity and frequent convective activity typical of the August rainy season further suppress daytime highs relative to drier periods, aligning with climatological norms around 30–31°C. Ensemble model spreads and variable shower timing introduce uncertainty across the 29–32°C range, reflected in closely matched trader-implied odds, with resolution hinging on official PAGASA observations of the daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania