Recent forecast model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF runs points to a high of 23–24 °C in Paris on August 21 under increasing Atlantic influence, with westerly flow, extensive low-to-mid cloud cover, and scattered light showers limiting solar heating. Surface observations show dew points near 13–15 °C and modest wind speeds that reduce boundary-layer mixing, keeping afternoon maxima below recent late-August norms. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud allow brief insolation spikes, supporting the tight market clustering around the 23 °C and 24 °C outcomes. Updated guidance late on the 20th will refine exact cloud timing and any convective development.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 21?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 21?
24°C 38%
23°C 36%
22°C 13%
25°C 12%
NOWE
$47,314 Wol.
NOWE
$47,314 Wol.
Aug 21, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
13%
23°C
36%
24°C
38%
25°C
12%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 38%
23°C 36%
22°C 13%
25°C 12%
NOWE
$47,314 Wol.
NOWE
$47,314 Wol.
Aug 21, 2026
20°C or below
$5,256 Wol.
1%
21°C
$4,078 Wol.
1%
22°C
$3,608 Wol.
13%
23°C
$8,400 Wol.
36%
24°C
$4,306 Wol.
38%
25°C
$5,527 Wol.
12%
26°C
$5,042 Wol.
2%
27°C
$3,087 Wol.
1%
28°C
$2,258 Wol.
1%
29°C
$3,665 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,087 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF runs points to a high of 23–24 °C in Paris on August 21 under increasing Atlantic influence, with westerly flow, extensive low-to-mid cloud cover, and scattered light showers limiting solar heating. Surface observations show dew points near 13–15 °C and modest wind speeds that reduce boundary-layer mixing, keeping afternoon maxima below recent late-August norms. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud allow brief insolation spikes, supporting the tight market clustering around the 23 °C and 24 °C outcomes. Updated guidance late on the 20th will refine exact cloud timing and any convective development.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$47,314Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF runs points to a high of 23–24 °C in Paris on August 21 under increasing Atlantic influence, with westerly flow, extensive low-to-mid cloud cover, and scattered light showers limiting solar heating. Surface observations show dew points near 13–15 °C and modest wind speeds that reduce boundary-layer mixing, keeping afternoon maxima below recent late-August norms. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud allow brief insolation spikes, supporting the tight market clustering around the 23 °C and 24 °C outcomes. Updated guidance late on the 20th will refine exact cloud timing and any convective development.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$47,314Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF runs points to a high of 23–24 °C in Paris on August 21 under increasing Atlantic influence, with westerly flow, extensive low-to-mid cloud cover, and scattered light showers limiting solar heating. Surface observations show dew points near 13–15 °C and modest wind speeds that reduce boundary-layer mixing, keeping afternoon maxima below recent late-August norms. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud allow brief insolation spikes, supporting the tight market clustering around the 23 °C and 24 °C outcomes. Updated guidance late on the 20th will refine exact cloud timing and any convective development.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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