Latest forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 21 will likely settle near 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, supporting the close trader consensus between those two outcomes. Cooler air advection from the northwest Atlantic and reduced radiative cooling due to cloud cover are key variables limiting further drops below 14°C, while clear spells could allow brief radiational cooling to push readings toward 14°C. Historical August climatology shows average minimums around 14–15°C, providing context for the narrow probability spread; updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind patterns and dew point forecasts that ultimately determine the official Météo-France reading used for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 21?
15°C 51%
14°C 37%
13°C 15%
16°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
12%
14°C
37%
15°C
45%
16°C
9%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 51%
14°C 37%
13°C 15%
16°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
11°C or below
$177 Wol.
1%
12°C
$19 Wol.
1%
13°C
$535 Wol.
12%
14°C
$1,977 Wol.
37%
15°C
$458 Wol.
45%
16°C
$190 Wol.
9%
17°C
$465 Wol.
8%
18°C
$760 Wol.
1%
19°C
$46 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$291 Wol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$281 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 21 will likely settle near 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, supporting the close trader consensus between those two outcomes. Cooler air advection from the northwest Atlantic and reduced radiative cooling due to cloud cover are key variables limiting further drops below 14°C, while clear spells could allow brief radiational cooling to push readings toward 14°C. Historical August climatology shows average minimums around 14–15°C, providing context for the narrow probability spread; updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind patterns and dew point forecasts that ultimately determine the official Météo-France reading used for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,201Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 21 will likely settle near 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, supporting the close trader consensus between those two outcomes. Cooler air advection from the northwest Atlantic and reduced radiative cooling due to cloud cover are key variables limiting further drops below 14°C, while clear spells could allow brief radiational cooling to push readings toward 14°C. Historical August climatology shows average minimums around 14–15°C, providing context for the narrow probability spread; updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind patterns and dew point forecasts that ultimately determine the official Météo-France reading used for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,201Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 21 will likely settle near 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, supporting the close trader consensus between those two outcomes. Cooler air advection from the northwest Atlantic and reduced radiative cooling due to cloud cover are key variables limiting further drops below 14°C, while clear spells could allow brief radiational cooling to push readings toward 14°C. Historical August climatology shows average minimums around 14–15°C, providing context for the narrow probability spread; updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind patterns and dew point forecasts that ultimately determine the official Météo-France reading used for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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