Recent Atlantic air advection has driven cooler conditions into northern France, with Météo-France and ECMWF model runs converging on overnight minima of 15–17°C for Paris on August 20 under increased cloud cover and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This late-summer pattern, following earlier heat, explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds, as small variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of frontal passage can shift the daily low by 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution guidance and official minimum observations from Paris-Montsouris in the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on August 20?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 20?
15°C 27%
17°C 26%
18°C 10%
14°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
9%
15°C
27%
16°C
29%
17°C
26%
18°C
10%
19°C
7%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 27%
17°C 26%
18°C 10%
14°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
11°C or below
$5 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$5 Wol.
1%
13°C
$0 Wol.
8%
14°C
$0 Wol.
9%
15°C
$0 Wol.
27%
16°C
$6 Wol.
29%
17°C
$0 Wol.
26%
18°C
$0 Wol.
10%
19°C
$4 Wol.
7%
20°C
$5 Wol.
4%
21°C or higher
$50 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Atlantic air advection has driven cooler conditions into northern France, with Météo-France and ECMWF model runs converging on overnight minima of 15–17°C for Paris on August 20 under increased cloud cover and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This late-summer pattern, following earlier heat, explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds, as small variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of frontal passage can shift the daily low by 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution guidance and official minimum observations from Paris-Montsouris in the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$75Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Atlantic air advection has driven cooler conditions into northern France, with Météo-France and ECMWF model runs converging on overnight minima of 15–17°C for Paris on August 20 under increased cloud cover and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This late-summer pattern, following earlier heat, explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds, as small variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of frontal passage can shift the daily low by 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution guidance and official minimum observations from Paris-Montsouris in the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$75Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Atlantic air advection has driven cooler conditions into northern France, with Météo-France and ECMWF model runs converging on overnight minima of 15–17°C for Paris on August 20 under increased cloud cover and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This late-summer pattern, following earlier heat, explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds, as small variations in boundary-layer moisture or timing of frontal passage can shift the daily low by 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution guidance and official minimum observations from Paris-Montsouris in the next 48 hours will refine resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania