Recent forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul, supporting clear skies and light northerly winds that moderate overnight cooling. This setup positions the lowest temperature on August 22 near 20–23°C, aligning with climatological August nighttime averages of 18–20°C while recent model runs show slight upward revisions from drier air masses. Trader consensus reflected in the 69% implied probability for 23°C incorporates these short-term dynamics and the low likelihood of significant cloud cover or fronts arriving before resolution, though minor discrepancies across ensembles could still shift the minimum by 1–2°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 22?
23°C 69%
24°C 43%
20°C 42%
18°C or below 42%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
42%
19°C
29%
20°C
42%
21°C
42%
22°C
37%
23°C
69%
24°C
43%
25°C
4%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
42%
23°C 69%
24°C 43%
20°C 42%
18°C or below 42%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
18°C or below
$5 Wol.
42%
19°C
$5 Wol.
29%
20°C
$0 Wol.
42%
21°C
$0 Wol.
42%
22°C
$0 Wol.
37%
23°C
$14 Wol.
69%
24°C
$0 Wol.
43%
25°C
$97 Wol.
4%
26°C
$5 Wol.
5%
27°C
$5 Wol.
5%
28°C or higher
$26 Wol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul, supporting clear skies and light northerly winds that moderate overnight cooling. This setup positions the lowest temperature on August 22 near 20–23°C, aligning with climatological August nighttime averages of 18–20°C while recent model runs show slight upward revisions from drier air masses. Trader consensus reflected in the 69% implied probability for 23°C incorporates these short-term dynamics and the low likelihood of significant cloud cover or fronts arriving before resolution, though minor discrepancies across ensembles could still shift the minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Wolumen
$158Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul, supporting clear skies and light northerly winds that moderate overnight cooling. This setup positions the lowest temperature on August 22 near 20–23°C, aligning with climatological August nighttime averages of 18–20°C while recent model runs show slight upward revisions from drier air masses. Trader consensus reflected in the 69% implied probability for 23°C incorporates these short-term dynamics and the low likelihood of significant cloud cover or fronts arriving before resolution, though minor discrepancies across ensembles could still shift the minimum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$158Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul, supporting clear skies and light northerly winds that moderate overnight cooling. This setup positions the lowest temperature on August 22 near 20–23°C, aligning with climatological August nighttime averages of 18–20°C while recent model runs show slight upward revisions from drier air masses. Trader consensus reflected in the 69% implied probability for 23°C incorporates these short-term dynamics and the low likelihood of significant cloud cover or fronts arriving before resolution, though minor discrepancies across ensembles could still shift the minimum by 1–2°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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